Juventus host Pisa at Allianz Stadium in Turin on 7 March 2026 in Serie A’s 28th round. Juventus sit 6th with 47 points and a strong positive goal difference, pushing for European qualification. Pisa arrive in deep trouble, 19th on 15 points and firmly in the relegation zone. The prediction model clearly sides with Juventus as winner, despite assigning a relatively high draw chance in percentage terms.
Juventus’ season profile is that of a solid top-six side: 13 wins from 27, scoring 46 (1.7 per game) and conceding only 28 (1.0 per game). At home they are particularly reliable: 7 wins, 5 draws, just 1 loss, with 25 scored (1.9 per game) and 12 conceded (0.9 per game). Their long-term form string is mixed (including a recent “DLLDW” in the table), but underlying numbers remain strong. They also beat Pisa 2–0 away in December, showing a clear gap in quality in a league match.
Pisa’s data is alarming: only 1 win in 27, with a “LLLDL” recent run in the table and an even longer season sequence full of defeats and draws. They average just 0.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, and away from home they have never won (0 wins, 8 draws, 5 losses), conceding 2.1 per game. Late-game fragility is evident, with a heavy share of goals conceded between 31–45 and 76–90 minutes.
On the personnel side, Juventus miss E. Holm, while A. Milik and D. Vlahovic are doubtful, which may slightly reduce their attacking depth. However, they still retain key creators like Kenan Yıldız, who has 8 goals, 4 assists and has both scored and missed from the spot (2 penalties taken in total). Pisa are without goalkeeper S. Scuffet and have several doubts (including A. Calabresi and others), weakening an already fragile squad.
The market strongly reflects Juventus’ dominance: home win ranges from 1.21 to 1.26, the draw from 5.22 to 6.60, and Pisa’s upset from 8.87 up to 14.00. With the official advice being “Winner: Juventus”, the clearest angle is Juventus to win, but the raw 1X2 price is short. Given Pisa’s low scoring and Juve’s solid home defence, the value-aligned approach is Juventus to win to nil or Juventus -1 handicap, both logically supported by the averages. A realistic scoreline is 2–0 to Juventus.
