PSV host Bayern at Philips Stadion in Eindhoven on 28 January 2026 in a UEFA Champions League League Stage match overseen by referee J. Pinheiro. In the current standings, Bayern sit 2nd with 18 points and a strong goal difference of +13, already tracking toward the last 1/8-finals, while PSV are 22nd with 8 points and eyeing the 1/16-finals play-off zone. History favors Bayern: in the two most recent Champions League meetings back in 2016, the German side won both (4-1 at home and 2-1 away).
PSV’s recent European form is mixed (LLWDW in the standings, LDWDWLL across the broader stats), but their home games are wide open. They average 3.0 goals scored and 2.7 conceded per home game in this Champions League campaign, with 9 goals for and 8 against in just three matches. Crucially, they have not kept a single clean sheet in seven games. The statistics suggest PSV can trouble any defense at Philips Stadion, but they are equally vulnerable at the back. The injury list is long: M. Boadu, Y. Gasiorowski, N. Olij, R. Pepi, A. Plea and R. van Bommel are all ruled out, while A. Salah-Eddine and G. Til are questionable. That depth hit, especially in attacking options like Pepi and Plea, weakens their ability to sustain pressure over 90 minutes.
Bayern arrive with clear momentum. Their form line in the standings (WWLWW) and season stats (WWWWLWW) underline a side that wins regularly. They score heavily: 2.7 goals per away game (8 in 3) and 2.9 overall per match, while conceding only 1.7 away on average. Even without defensive options like Kim Min-Jae and K. Laimer (also a key assister with three assists), the structure remains strong. Up front, Harry Kane is in elite Champions League form with 7 goals in 7 appearances, supported creatively by M. Olise (4 assists) and S. Gnabry (3 assists). None of these attacking leaders are listed as injured, which is a major plus for Bayern’s offensive outlook.
The statistics suggest a high-scoring game, with PSV’s attacking home profile clashing with Bayern’s prolific forward line. History and form both tilt toward the German side. We predict Bayern to win, but PSV to get on the scoresheet: PSV Eindhoven 1–3 Bayern München. Bayern’s superior form, Kane’s scoring streak, and PSV’s defensive record without clean sheets make an away win with over 2.5 goals the most plausible outcome.
