Inter host Bodo/Glimt in Milan on 24 February 2026 in this UEFA Champions League 1/16-finals. Despite Inter being clear favourites with bookmakers (home win around 1.22–1.30, away win as high as 11.00), the official prediction model leans strongly towards the Norwegian side avoiding defeat, labelling Bodo/Glimt as the “winner” with a “Win or draw” comment and advising “Double chance: draw or Bodo/Glimt”.
That stance is backed by recent performance data. Inter’s last five show just 20% form, conceding 9 goals (1.8 per game) and scoring only 1 on average. Their overall Champions League attack averages 1.8 goals per match, but they have already lost 4 of 9 games and failed to score once. Defensively they are decent (1.1 conceded on average), yet their home record (6 scored, 5 conceded in 4 games) is far from dominant.
By contrast, Bodo/Glimt arrive with 67% form over the last five, hitting 12 goals (2.4 per game) and conceding 1.6. Across the campaign they average 2.1 goals per match, significantly higher than Inter, and have scored in 10 of 11 outings. The comparison block heavily favours the visitors: form 77% vs 23%, attack 71% vs 29%, overall strength 64.8% vs 35.2%. Head‑to‑head also tilts their way after a 3‑1 home win over Inter just days earlier.
Squad news further explains the model’s tilt. Inter are missing two key names: H. Calhanoglu (muscle injury) and L. Martinez (calf injury). Losing their main creative hub and top striker is a major blow to an already misfiring attack. Bodo/Glimt’s leading threats, Jens Petter Hauge and Kasper Høgh (5 goals and 3 assists each), are fit and in form.
Officially, the prediction is for Bodo/Glimt to avoid defeat: Double chance draw or Bodo/Glimt, with 45% probability for a draw and 45% for an away result, versus only 10% for an Inter win. Given both teams’ scoring profiles (Inter 1.8 for / 1.1 against, Bodo/Glimt 2.1 for / 1.6 against) and the “-2.5” goals tag, a controlled, relatively low‑scoring outcome such as 1‑1 or 1‑2 to Bodo/Glimt fits the data.
From a betting perspective, the value lies squarely against the market favourite. While bookmakers price Inter around 1.22–1.30, the model’s advice is the Bodo/Glimt double chance. With the away win alone trading between 7.62 and 11.00 and the draw between 5.70 and 7.50, combining them in a double‑chance market should offer an attractive price relative to a prediction that sees the visitors at 90% combined probability to avoid defeat.
