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Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

This UEFA Europa League 3rd Qualifying Round second leg at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla in Zabrze sees Gornik Zabrze trying to overturn a narrow deficit against Ferencvarosi TC. The first leg in Budapest on 5 August finished 1-0 to the Hungarian side, leaving the tie finely poised but with the visitors holding a clear advantage.

For Gornik Zabrze, this is about keeping their European campaign alive after a difficult start to qualifying, while Ferencvarosi TC arrive in strong early-season form and with valuable experience in continental competition. With the aggregate score at 1-0 to Ferencvarosi TC, the Polish hosts must find a better attacking edge without exposing themselves to the visitors’ efficient, two-goals-per-game Europa League scoring rate so far.

Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC Key Stats

  • Gornik Zabrze have played 1 Europa League match this campaign, losing 1-0 away and failing to score.
  • The only recent head-to-head meeting on 05 August 2026 ended Ferencvarosi TC 1-0 Gornik Zabrze in the Europa League 3rd Qualifying Round.
  • Ferencvarosi TC have 4 wins and 1 draw from 5 Europa League fixtures this season, scoring 10 and conceding just 4.

Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: not available vs not available
  • Points: not available vs not available
  • Goals For: 0 (Gornik Zabrze, across 1 Europa League match) vs 10 (Ferencvarosi TC, across 5 Europa League matches)
  • Goals Against: 1 vs 4
  • Clean Sheets: Gornik Zabrze 0 (tournament statistics); Ferencvarosi TC 2 (tournament statistics)

Standings data for the qualifying round is not provided, but the broader Europa League statistics paint a clear picture. Gornik Zabrze have only one match on record in this campaign, the 1-0 defeat in Budapest, leaving them with no wins, no goals scored and one goal conceded.

Ferencvarosi TC, by contrast, have already played 5 Europa League fixtures this season, winning 4 and drawing 1. They average 2.0 goals scored per match and just 0.8 conceded, with two clean sheets and no defeats. Their biggest home win has been 3-0, while away they have a notable 2-1 victory, underlining their ability to perform in both environments. On paper, the Hungarians arrive as the better-drilled and more battle-hardened European side.

Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC Key Matchups

Gornik Zabrze defensive unit vs Ferencvarosi TC attacking line

With no individual top scorers or assist providers listed for either team, the key battle shifts to unit-versus-unit. Gornik Zabrze’s defensive core — including experienced defenders such as P. Bochniewicz, R. Janicki and E. Janža — must contain a Ferencvarosi TC attack averaging 2 goals per Europa League match over 5 games. The Hungarian side have scored in every fixture so far and have produced a biggest home win of 3-0, indicating they can quickly punish any defensive lapses. Gornik Zabrze have conceded just once in their lone match, but the pressure of needing to chase the tie could stretch their back line.

Midfield control: Gornik Zabrze engine room vs Ferencvarosi TC midfield depth

In midfield, Gornik Zabrze have a mix of workers and creators such as J. Kubicki, M. Rakoczy and L. Sadílek. They will be up against a deep Ferencvarosi TC midfield pool featuring options like N. Keïta, G. Kanichowsky, Cadu and K. Zachariassen. Ferencvarosi TC’s Europa League numbers — 10 goals for, only 4 against, and no defeats in 5 matches — suggest their midfield has been effective both in ball progression and in shielding the defence. If Gornik Zabrze cannot disrupt this core, they may struggle to create the volume of chances needed to overturn the aggregate deficit.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

The recent history between these sides is extremely limited, with only the first leg of this tie on record. That match in Budapest set the tone for this return fixture in Poland.

  • 05 August 2026: Ferencvarosi TC 1-0 Gornik Zabrze (UEFA Europa League)

Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC Prediction

Stats suggest a clash between a side still finding its feet in Europe this season and one that has already built momentum. Gornik Zabrze’s Europa League form line is a single loss, with no goals scored and one conceded. Ferencvarosi TC arrive unbeaten in 5 matches in the competition, with 4 wins and a draw, and an attacking return of 10 goals.

The prediction model gives Gornik Zabrze only a 10% chance of winning in 90 minutes, with the draw and away win each rated at 45%. That reflects both the visitors’ strong recent tournament form and their first-leg advantage. However, the odds market is more balanced: home win prices range from 2.55 to 2.68 (implied probability roughly 37.3%–39.2%), draws from 2.95 to 3.10 (about 32.3%–33.9%), and away wins from 2.85 to 2.99 (around 33.4%–35.1%). Bookmakers therefore see this as a near pick’em, with a slight lean towards Gornik Zabrze at home, but the underlying performance data leans toward Ferencvarosi TC.

With no exact goals prediction available, a tight, low-scoring encounter looks likely, especially given the advice pointing to Ferencvarosi TC combined with under 3.5 goals. Gornik Zabrze must open up more than in Budapest, but Ferencvarosi TC’s solid defensive record and ability to manage games when ahead should keep this controlled.

Predicted Score: Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Ferencvarosi TC

Gornik Zabrze Recent Form

Gornik Zabrze’s Europa League campaign so far consists of just one match: a 1-0 away defeat to Ferencvarosi TC. They failed to score, conceded in the 61–75 minute window, and recorded no clean sheet. Their overall tournament statistics show 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss, 0 goals scored and 1 conceded, underlining how little margin for error they have in this second leg.

Ferencvarosi TC Recent Form

Ferencvarosi TC’s recent Europa League form is impressive: a sequence of WWWDW across 5 matches. They have won 4 and drawn 1, scoring 10 goals (2.0 per match) and conceding only 4 (0.8 per match). They have two clean sheets, have not failed to score in any game, and their biggest home win of 3-0 plus a 2-1 away victory highlight both attacking potency and tactical flexibility.

Gornik Zabrze Possible Starting Lineup

GK: T. Loska or P. Schulze; Defenders: P. Bochniewicz, R. Janicki, E. Janža, O. Zmrzlý; Midfielders: J. Kubicki, M. Rakoczy, L. Sadílek, T. Ismaheel, R. Massimo; Forwards: S. Liseth, E. Prekop.

Gornik Zabrze’s squad list suggests a likely continuation of the 4-3-3 shape they have already used once in this Europa League campaign. The back line should be built around the experience of Bochniewicz and Janicki, with Janža and Zmrzlý offering width. In midfield, a blend of energy and creativity from players like Kubicki, Rakoczy and Sadílek will be crucial to breaking down Ferencvarosi TC’s compact structure. Up front, options such as Liseth and Prekop give Gornik a physical presence and penalty-box threat, but they must be better serviced than in the first leg, where the team failed to score and registered a “failed to score” mark in their tournament statistics.

Ferencvarosi TC Possible Starting Lineup

GK: D. Dibusz; Defenders: E. Botka, M. Gómez, B. Nagy, T. Raemaekers; Midfielders: N. Keïta, G. Kanichowsky, Cadu, P. Rommens; Forwards: K. Lisztes, B. Yusuf.

Ferencvarosi TC have consistently used a 4-3-3 formation across their 5 Europa League matches so far, and there is little reason to deviate given their unbeaten record. Dibusz provides experience in goal, while a back four featuring Botka and Gómez has helped deliver two clean sheets. In midfield, Keïta’s control and Kanichowsky’s work rate, alongside Cadu’s versatility, offer balance between defence and attack. Further forward, young attacker K. Lisztes and forward options like B. Yusuf and L. Joseph give pace and movement to exploit spaces if Gornik Zabrze push numbers forward in search of goals.

Gornik Zabrze Team News

No significant absences reported.

Ferencvarosi TC Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Gornik Zabrze:

  • None reported.

Ferencvarosi TC:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Ferencvarosi TC Draw No Bet. The prediction model rates Ferencvarosi TC with a 45% chance of victory versus just 10% for Gornik Zabrze, despite the betting market having the home side slightly shorter. With Ferencvarosi TC unbeaten in 5 Europa League games (4 wins, 1 draw) and already 1-0 up on aggregate, siding with the visitors on a safety net like Draw No Bet looks sensible. Using the “Match Winner” odds range (away win 2.85–2.99, home win 2.55–2.68), the raw away price implies roughly a 33–35% chance; shifting to Draw No Bet will shorten that, but still offers solid value given their superior form.
  • Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. Across 6 combined Europa League matches this season (1 for Gornik Zabrze, 5 for Ferencvarosi TC), only 14 goals have been scored — an average of around 2.3 per game. Gornik Zabrze have yet to score in the competition, and the first leg finished 1-0. Ferencvarosi TC’s goals-against average is just 0.8 per match, and their under/over profile shows only 1 of 5 games going over 2.5 goals and none over 3.5. The official advice also points to Ferencvarosi TC with under 3.5 goals, reinforcing this angle. Odds for totals are not listed, but under 3.5 should be a strong candidate in multiples.
  • Value Tip: Draw in the Match Winner market. The prediction model gives the draw a 45% chance, equal to the away win and far above the 10% for a home victory. Market odds for the draw range from 2.95 to 3.10, implying roughly a 32.3%–33.9% chance. That gap between a 45% model probability and a 33% market probability suggests the stalemate could be undervalued. With Ferencvarosi TC already ahead on aggregate, they may prioritise game management over chasing a win at all costs, making a controlled, low-scoring draw a realistic outcome.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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