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FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Prediction: Preview and Betting Tips

FC Tulsa welcome Monterey Bay to ONEOK Field on 18 June 2026 in a USL Championship Group Stage clash that could further shape the upper half of the conference. With Tulsa sitting in the play-off positions and Monterey Bay trying to claw their way up from the lower reaches of the table, this fixture carries clear stakes for both sides.

The hosts come into this round in 7th place with 16 points from 11 matches, firmly in the promotion play-off zone. Their campaign has been built on balance: 14 goals scored and 14 conceded, and a recent surge in league form. Monterey Bay, by contrast, are 12th on 11 points after 12 games, with a negative goal difference of -7 (13 scored, 20 conceded). They have improved lately with three straight league wins, but their overall away record remains a concern.

ONEOK Field has been a relatively solid base for FC Tulsa this season, while Monterey Bay’s trips on the road have been problematic. Add to that a head-to-head history that heavily favours Tulsa, and this encounter looks like another stern examination of Monterey Bay’s credentials against a side they have struggled to beat.

FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Key Stats

  • FC Tulsa are 7th with 16 points from 11 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 14 in the USL Championship Group Stage.
  • FC Tulsa are unbeaten in their last five league meetings with Monterey Bay, including a 2-1 away win at Cardinale Stadium on 3 May 2026.
  • FC Tulsa average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match this season, while Monterey Bay average 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded.

FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 7 vs 12
  • Points: 16 vs 11
  • Goals For: 14 vs 13
  • Goals Against: 14 vs 20
  • Clean Sheets: FC Tulsa 3; Monterey Bay 2

The standings underline the contrasting trajectories of these sides. FC Tulsa, with 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 11 games, are in a strong position in 7th and currently occupy a USL Championship play-off spot. Their goal difference is perfectly balanced, and they have been difficult to beat both home and away, losing only three times so far.

Monterey Bay’s season has been far more volatile. They sit 12th with 3 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 12 matches, and a -7 goal difference. Their home record has provided some respite, but away from Cardinale Stadium they have yet to win in five attempts, drawing once and losing four, with 4 goals scored and 12 conceded. That away fragility, combined with Tulsa’s solid home profile (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat; 6 scored, 4 conceded), tilts the balance towards the hosts.

FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Key Matchups

Midfield battle and transition vs Monterey Bay’s attacking unit

Detailed individual scoring and assist numbers are not available, so the focus shifts to unit performance. FC Tulsa’s attack averages 1.3 goals per game, with their biggest wins including a 2-0 home result and a 4-1 away victory, showing they can both control games at ONEOK Field and exploit space on the counter. Monterey Bay’s attack averages 1.1 goals per match, with their best attacking display a 4-1 home win, but their output drops significantly away from home to just 0.8 goals per game. The midfield and forward lines for Tulsa will look to exploit Monterey Bay’s vulnerability in transition, especially given the visitors concede 2.4 goals per game on their travels.

Defensive resilience: Tulsa’s compact back line vs Monterey Bay’s leaky away defence

At the back, FC Tulsa concede 1.3 goals per match overall, but only 0.8 at home, with 3 clean sheets already this season. Their heaviest defeat was 5-1 away, underlining that most of their defensive issues have come on the road rather than at ONEOK Field. Monterey Bay, however, concede 1.7 goals per game overall and a worrying 2.4 away from home. Their biggest away loss, 4-1, highlights the risk of collapse when pressure builds. If Tulsa maintain their usual defensive structure at home, Monterey Bay will need an unusually clinical performance to break them down while also shoring up their own back line.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent head-to-head history is overwhelmingly in FC Tulsa’s favour. The sides have met regularly in the USL Championship in recent years, with Tulsa dominating both home and away. Counting all the meetings listed below, FC Tulsa have five wins and two draws against Monterey Bay.

  • 3 May 2026: Monterey Bay 1-2 FC Tulsa (USL Championship)
  • 7 August 2025: Monterey Bay 2-3 FC Tulsa (USL Championship)
  • 17 July 2025: FC Tulsa 2-1 Monterey Bay (USL Championship)
  • 27 October 2024: FC Tulsa 2-1 Monterey Bay (USL Championship)
  • 14 July 2024: Monterey Bay 0-0 FC Tulsa (USL Championship)

FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Prediction

Stats suggest a tight but Tulsa-leaning contest. The hosts are in 7th with a positive recent league form string of LDWWW, while Monterey Bay’s overall campaign has been inconsistent despite a recent run of WWWLL. Head-to-head history is lopsided in Tulsa’s favour, and Monterey Bay’s away numbers (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats; 4 scored, 12 conceded) are a major red flag.

The prediction metrics give FC Tulsa a 45% chance of victory, with the draw also at 45% and Monterey Bay just 10%. The advice leans towards a double chance in favour of Tulsa or the draw, and with both teams generally involved in relatively low to medium scoring games, another controlled home performance from Tulsa looks likely. Expect the hosts to edge it in a match where their defensive solidity at ONEOK Field and historical dominance prove decisive.

Predicted Score: FC Tulsa 1-0 Monterey Bay

FC Tulsa League Form

LDWWW

Monterey Bay League Form

WWWLL

FC Tulsa Possible Starting Lineup

T. Henry; L. Batista, A. Cissoko, D. Pierre, G. Robinson; Bruno Lapa, R. Cabral, G. Colli, K. ElMedkhar; L. Dorsey, N. Pierre.

FC Tulsa have options across the pitch, with experienced goalkeepers like T. Henry supported by a deep defensive group including L. Batista, A. Cissoko and G. Robinson. In midfield, creative and hard-working profiles such as Bruno Lapa, R. Cabral and G. Colli can help control possession at ONEOK Field, while wide and attacking threats like K. ElMedkhar, L. Dorsey and N. Pierre give Tulsa the pace to exploit Monterey Bay’s vulnerable away defence. The squad depth in defence and midfield should allow Tulsa to maintain their compact structure and still carry a threat in transition.

Monterey Bay Possible Starting Lineup

F. Delgado; K. Egwu, Z. Farnsworth, L. Malešević, S. Ritchie; S. Lletget, E. Blancas, A. Rebollar, C. Nadje; R. Bidois, W. Leggett.

Monterey Bay’s squad blends youth and experience. At the back, defenders such as K. Egwu, Z. Farnsworth and L. Malešević are tasked with tightening an away defence that has struggled so far. In midfield, the presence of S. Lletget alongside players like E. Blancas and A. Rebollar offers technical quality and control, while in attack options such as R. Bidois and W. Leggett provide movement and finishing. The key tactical challenge will be balancing their attacking intent with the need to protect a back line that has conceded heavily on the road.

FC Tulsa Team News

No significant absences reported.

Monterey Bay Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

FC Tulsa:

  • None reported.

Monterey Bay:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Back FC Tulsa in the double chance (home win or draw). The prediction metrics give Tulsa a combined 90% chance of avoiding defeat (45% home win, 45% draw) against just 10% for a Monterey Bay victory, and Tulsa also dominate the head-to-head record.
  • Goals Tip: Under 2.5 goals. Both sides average close to one to one-and-a-half goals per game, Tulsa’s home defence is relatively tight (0.8 conceded per match), and several recent meetings — including the 0-0 draw on 14 July 2024 — have been low scoring.
  • Value Tip: FC Tulsa to win by exactly one goal. Tulsa’s last three home wins over Monterey Bay (2-1, 2-1, 2-1) have all been by a single-goal margin, and the predicted scoreline of 1-0 aligns with a narrow home success offering potential value in the winning margin market.

How to Watch FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

  • Spain: Movistar LaLiga
  • UK: Premier Sports
  • Australia: beIN Sports
  • India: FanCode
  • MENA: beIN Sports
  • South America: ESPN / Disney+
  • Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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