Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Dinamo Zagreb and FC Thun meet at Stadion Maksimir in Zagreb on 28 July 2026 in the second leg of their UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. After a finely balanced first match in Switzerland, this return fixture will decide who progresses to the next stage of qualifying.

The first leg at Stockhorn Arena finished 1-1 on 21 July 2026, leaving everything to play for in Croatia. Dinamo now have home advantage in front of their own fans, while Thun know that any scoring draw will at least force extra time depending on away-goal rules in force for this campaign. With both sides still unbeaten in this Champions League season and so little between them statistically, this has the feel of a genuine 50-50 contest.

Early-round Champions League qualifiers are often tight, cagey affairs, and the numbers so far back that up here: both teams have identical records in terms of goals scored and conceded, and both come into this second leg off that same 1-1 draw. Bettors and fans alike can expect another close encounter in Zagreb.

Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun Key Stats

• Both Dinamo Zagreb and FC Thun have played 1 Champions League match this season, each drawing 1-1 (1 goal scored, 1 conceded).
• The only previous meeting between the sides came on 21 July 2026, when FC Thun drew 1-1 at home against Dinamo Zagreb in the Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round.
• Dinamo Zagreb’s most-used formation in this Champions League campaign is 4-2-3-1 (1 match), while FC Thun have lined up in a 4-4-2 (1 match).

Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun — Tale of the Tape

• Position: Not available vs Not available
• Points: Not available vs Not available
• Goals For: 1 vs 1
• Goals Against: 1 vs 1
• Clean Sheets: Dinamo Zagreb 0; FC Thun 0 (Champions League 2026)

With no full group standings table available yet, the clearest comparison between these two sides comes from their identical records in the qualifying round: both have drawn their only match 1-1, scoring and conceding at the same average rate of 1.0 goal per game. Neither team has managed a clean sheet so far, underlining how evenly matched this tie has been.

Dinamo’s goals have come away from home so far, while Thun’s single goal arrived in front of their own fans. Now the venue switches to Zagreb, where Dinamo will expect to be more assertive. However, FC Thun’s ability to avoid defeat in the first leg and keep the aggregate score level suggests they are tactically organised and capable of making life difficult again in the return.

Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun Key Matchups

F. Topić (Dinamo Zagreb) vs FC Thun back line

With limited individual attacking data available, Fran Topić stands out as Dinamo Zagreb’s most notable contributor in the creative department so far in this Champions League campaign. The 21-year-old attacker has made 1 appearance (10 minutes) and already registered 1 assist, with 1 shot attempted and 5 passes at an 80% accuracy rate, plus 1 key pass. He also won his only recorded duel and drew 1 foul, underlining his impact in a short cameo.

Topić’s ability to influence the game off the bench or from a starting role will be crucial against an FC Thun defence that has conceded just once in their only match. His creativity between the lines and efficiency in possession could be a difference-maker if Dinamo need a late goal in Zagreb.

Midfield battle: Dinamo’s central options vs FC Thun’s engine room

While individual statistics for FC Thun’s midfielders are not detailed here, the tactical contrast is clear: Dinamo have favoured a 4-2-3-1 shape, relying on a double pivot and an advanced playmaker, whereas Thun have lined up in a 4-4-2, typically more rigid and balanced. Dinamo’s midfielders such as J. Mišić and M. Zajc (both experienced central players listed in the squad) will be tasked with breaking down Thun’s likely two banks of four.

If Dinamo’s midfield can move the ball quickly enough to disrupt Thun’s structure, space will open up for attackers like Topić and D. Beljo. Conversely, if Thun’s central players maintain compactness and discipline, they can frustrate the hosts and look to counter through forwards like B. Labeau and L. Stewart.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have only just begun their head-to-head history, with the first leg in Switzerland providing the initial data point. That match offered few clear conclusions beyond how evenly matched the teams are at this stage of qualifying.

• 21 July 2026: FC Thun 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb (UEFA Champions League)

Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun Prediction

Stats suggest this is one of the most finely balanced ties in the 2nd Qualifying Round. Both teams share identical records: 1 match played, 1 draw, 1 goal scored and 1 conceded. Their recent form in the competition is also the same, with both carrying a “D” form line into this second leg.

The prediction model gives each outcome — home win, draw, and away win — an equal 33% probability. That underlines the lack of a clear favourite, even with Dinamo playing at home. Dinamo’s slight edge may come from home advantage and the flexibility of their 4-2-3-1 system, which can morph into a more attacking shape if they chase a goal. FC Thun, however, showed in the first leg that they can strike early (their goal came in the 16–30 minute window) and then manage a game for long periods.

With neither side prolific and both averaging exactly 1 goal for and 1 against per game, another tight, low-scoring contest is the most likely scenario. Given the perfectly balanced probabilities and the stalemate in the first leg, a repeat of a draw feels the most logical call.

Predicted Score: Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 FC Thun

Dinamo Zagreb Recent Form

In the 2026 Champions League, Dinamo Zagreb have played 1 match and drawn it, leaving them unbeaten but still searching for a first win. Their form line is recorded as a single draw, reflecting that 1-1 result away to FC Thun. They average 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per game, with their only goal so far coming late in the 76–90 minute window and their only goal conceded arriving in the 16–30 minute period. They have yet to keep a clean sheet but have also avoided defeat.

FC Thun Recent Form

FC Thun mirror Dinamo’s record almost exactly in this Champions League campaign. They have also played 1 match, drawn 1-1, and carry a single-draw form line. Their lone goal came in the 16–30 minute window, while they conceded in the final 15 minutes (76–90). Like Dinamo, they average 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per match, have no clean sheets, but remain unbeaten heading into the second leg.

Dinamo Zagreb Possible Starting Lineup

GK: I. Filipović or I. Nevistić
Defenders: S. Radeljić, K. Théophile-Catherine, Raúl Torrente, B. Goda
Midfielders: J. Mišić, M. Zajc, G. Vidović, L. Kačavenda
Forwards: D. Beljo, F. Topić

Dinamo’s most-used formation in this Champions League campaign is 4-2-3-1, which fits well with their squad composition. Experienced defenders like K. Théophile-Catherine and S. Radeljić offer aerial presence and organisation at the back, while midfielders such as J. Mišić and M. Zajc can dictate tempo and provide passing range. In attack, D. Beljo offers a focal point, and Fran Topić’s creativity and assist record from limited minutes make him a strong candidate either to start in one of the attacking midfield roles or to be used as an impact substitute.

FC Thun Possible Starting Lineup

GK: N. Steffen
Defenders: Genís Montolio, J. Bamert, N. Bürgy, M. Bürki
Midfielders: M. Käit, J. Roth, N. Reichmuth, N. Zoukit
Forwards: B. Labeau, L. Stewart

FC Thun have lined up in a 4-4-2 in their only Champions League outing so far, and the squad list supports a continuation of that shape. The back four is likely to be built around experienced defenders like Genís Montolio and N. Bürgy, while midfielders such as M. Käit and J. Roth can provide energy and balance in the centre. Up front, B. Labeau and L. Stewart offer mobility and physical presence, ideal for working the channels and capitalising on counter-attacking opportunities in Zagreb.

Dinamo Zagreb Team News

No significant absences reported.

FC Thun Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Dinamo Zagreb:

• None reported.

FC Thun:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Dinamo Zagreb vs FC Thun

Exactly 3 distinct betting angles emerge from the early-round Champions League stats and the prediction probabilities:

• Result Tip: Back the draw in 1X2. Both teams have identical records (1 draw each, 1-1 on aggregate) and the prediction model assigns 33% to each of home win, draw, and away win, underlining the balance of this tie. With no clear favourite and the first leg already finishing level, the stalemate is a logical outcome.
• Goals Tip: Under 2.5 total goals. Across 2 combined Champions League matches (1 each), Dinamo and Thun have produced only 2 goals in total, with both averaging 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their under/over profiles show no matches going over 1.5 goals so far, which strongly supports a low-scoring second leg.
• Value Tip: Dinamo Zagreb to score in the second half. Dinamo’s only goal in this Champions League campaign came in the 76–90 minute window, while FC Thun conceded their only goal in the same late period. That pattern suggests Dinamo grow into games and could find their best chances after the break, offering potential value in second-half goal markets in favour of the hosts.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.