CSKA Sofia vs OFI Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

CSKA Sofia host OFI at the National Stadium Vasil Levski in Sofia on 27 August 2026 in the second leg of their UEFA Europa League Play-offs tie. After a bruising 3-0 defeat in Heraklion a week earlier, the Bulgarian side face a steep uphill battle to keep their European campaign alive.

For CSKA Sofia, this is about salvaging pride and somehow overturning a three-goal deficit in front of their own fans. Their Europa League campaign to date shows they can score and compete, but defensive lapses have been costly. OFI, meanwhile, arrive in Sofia with a commanding aggregate lead and the luxury of managing the game. One away goal would all but kill the tie, while a disciplined defensive display could be enough on its own.

With qualification for the Europa League proper on the line, this clash has high stakes for both clubs. Bettors and fans searching for CSKA Sofia vs OFI prediction, CSKA Sofia vs OFI betting tips, and Europa League play-off analysis will see a fascinating contrast: a home side needing to chase the game against a Greek team that has started the competition with a perfect defensive record.

CSKA Sofia vs OFI Key Stats

• CSKA Sofia have played 7 Europa League matches this campaign, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 2, with 10 goals scored and 9 conceded.
• The only previous meeting between these sides came on 20 August 2026, when OFI beat CSKA Sofia 3-0 in Heraklion in the Europa League Play-offs.
• In tournament statistics, CSKA Sofia have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches, while OFI have 1 clean sheet from their single Europa League outing so far.

CSKA Sofia vs OFI — Tale of the Tape

• Position: Not available vs Not available
• Points: Not available vs Not available
• Goals For: 10 (CSKA Sofia tournament total) vs 3 (OFI tournament total)
• Goals Against: 9 (CSKA Sofia tournament total) vs 0 (OFI tournament total)
• Clean Sheets: CSKA Sofia 3 vs OFI 1 (tournament statistics)

Standings data for the play-off phase are not explicitly listed, but broader Europa League statistics paint a clear picture of both sides’ profiles. CSKA Sofia have been involved in relatively tight games: across 7 matches they average 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded, suggesting a team that can create chances but is vulnerable at the back.

OFI’s sample size is much smaller, yet emphatic. Their only Europa League match so far produced a 3-0 home win over CSKA Sofia, giving them an average of 3.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded. That result, coupled with a clean sheet, underlines how efficiently they executed their game plan in Crete. CSKA’s need to chase the tie in Sofia should open up a very different tactical battle compared to the first leg.

CSKA Sofia vs OFI Key Matchups

Bruno Jordão vs OFI midfield unit

Bruno Jordão has been one of CSKA Sofia’s key contributors in this Europa League run. The Portuguese midfielder has 1 goal in 2 appearances, making him the club’s top scorer in the competition so far. His ability to arrive late in the box and contribute directly to goals will be vital if CSKA are to find an early breakthrough.

OFI’s midfield kept a clean sheet in the first leg and helped control the tempo, restricting CSKA to no goals and limited clear chances. With OFI yet to concede in the tournament, Jordão’s creativity and goal threat from midfield will be central to breaking down what has so far been a flawless Greek defensive record.

Pastor vs OFI wide attackers

Defender Pastor has quietly become an important outlet for CSKA Sofia. Across 2 Europa League appearances, he has provided 1 assist, putting him among the competition’s notable creators for the Bulgarian side. His forward runs and delivery from the back or wide areas add an extra dimension to CSKA’s attack.

However, Pastor will also have to be wary of OFI’s threat on the counter. OFI scored 3 goals in their only Europa League match, including against CSKA in the first leg, and will likely look to exploit the spaces left when CSKA push their full-backs high. How well Pastor balances his attacking instincts with defensive responsibilities could significantly influence both CSKA’s ability to chase the tie and their vulnerability to counter-attacks.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

The European history between these two clubs is extremely limited, with only one recent encounter that heavily shapes the narrative heading into this second leg.

• 20 August 2026: OFI 3-0 CSKA Sofia (UEFA Europa League)

CSKA Sofia vs OFI Prediction

Stats suggest a clash of needs and styles. CSKA Sofia must attack from the outset to have any chance of overturning a three-goal deficit. Their Europa League record of 10 goals scored in 7 matches, and an average of 1.4 goals per game, indicates they can find the net, especially at home where they have scored 5 in 3 fixtures.

OFI, by contrast, come into this second leg with maximum confidence. They have a 3-0 aggregate cushion, a perfect defensive record in the competition, and a recent 3-0 win over this very opponent. The predictions data rates OFI as the more likely side to progress or avoid defeat, assigning them a 45% chance of winning the match outright, with a 45% probability of a draw and only 10% for a CSKA Sofia victory. That balance points towards OFI being well-placed to manage the game, sit deeper, and hit on the break.

Market odds, however, heavily favour CSKA Sofia on the night. Home win prices range from 1.58 to 1.65, implying roughly a 60.6% to 63.3% chance of victory, while OFI are out at 5.00 to 5.80 (around 17.2% to 20.0%). That discrepancy between model probabilities and bookmaker prices reflects the expectation that CSKA will push hard at home, even if OFI remain favourites to qualify overall.

Given CSKA’s need to chase the game and their tendency to both score and concede, a tight home win or a draw looks plausible. OFI’s strong defensive numbers and first-leg dominance make a complete CSKA comeback unlikely, but the Bulgarians can restore some pride.

Predicted Score: CSKA Sofia 1-1 OFI

CSKA Sofia Recent Form

In Europa League tournament play, CSKA Sofia’s broader form line reads WWDWWLL across 7 matches. That run includes a strong mid-phase with consecutive wins and only 1 draw, before back-to-back defeats, one of which was the 3-0 loss away to OFI.

Offensively, they average 1.4 goals per game (10 in 7), but defensively they concede 1.3 per match (9 in 7). They have kept 3 clean sheets yet also failed to score twice, underlining their inconsistency. CSKA’s home fixtures have been relatively open, with 5 goals scored and 5 conceded in 3 matches, suggesting goals at both ends are a realistic scenario again in Sofia.

OFI Recent Form

OFI’s Europa League form is a perfect, if minimal, sample: 1 match, 1 win, 3 goals scored, 0 conceded. Their form string is simply W, but that single result was a comprehensive 3-0 victory over CSKA Sofia in the first leg of this tie.

They average 3.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game in the competition so far, with a clean sheet and a 100% record in both attack and defence. While the small sample size means caution is needed, the manner of that first-leg performance suggests OFI are well-organised at the back and ruthless when chances arise.

CSKA Sofia Possible Starting Lineup

GK: D. Evtimov; Defenders: J. Gbamin, Adrián Lapeña, Pastor, Á. Martino; Midfielders: Bruno Jordão, M. Ebong, M. Brahimi; Forwards: S. Godoy, I. Pittas, J. Zwarts.

CSKA Sofia have enough depth across the pitch, with multiple defensive options such as J. Gbamin, Adrián Lapeña and Pastor, plus creative and combative midfielders like Bruno Jordão and M. Ebong. In attack, players such as S. Godoy, I. Pittas and J. Zwarts give them varied profiles to threaten OFI’s back line. The team has used several formations in the tournament (4-3-3 most frequently, plus 4-3-1-2, 3-5-2, 4-4-2 and 4-1-4-1), so a front-foot 4-3-3 or 4-3-1-2 is likely as they chase goals. With no listed absences, the coach can select a strong, attack-minded XI.

OFI Possible Starting Lineup

GK: N. Christogeorgos; Defenders: L. Dickmann, Borja González, D. Nikolaou; Midfielders: A. Bouchalakis, G. Kanellópoulos, T. Androutsos, Aitor Cantalapiedra; Forwards: T. Fountas, A. Leya, G. Theodosoulakis.

OFI’s squad list suggests a solid defensive core, with experienced defenders like L. Dickmann, Borja González and D. Nikolaou, and a midfield built around A. Bouchalakis and G. Kanellópoulos. In their only Europa League match, they lined up in a 3-4-3, a system well-suited to protecting a lead and springing counters. With forwards such as T. Fountas and A. Leya, they have the pace and movement to punish CSKA if the hosts overcommit. Expect OFI to retain a back-three or flexible back-five structure, prioritising compactness and transitions.

CSKA Sofia Team News

No significant absences reported.

OFI Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

CSKA Sofia:

• None reported.

OFI:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: CSKA Sofia vs OFI

Exactly 3 distinct markets are considered below, combining statistical trends, prediction probabilities and available odds.

• Result Tip: Draw The prediction model gives CSKA Sofia just a 10% chance of winning, with OFI and the draw both at 45%. Bookmakers, however, price the draw between 3.82 and 4.00, implying roughly a 25.0% to 26.2% chance. With OFI likely to manage their 3-0 aggregate lead and CSKA pushing forward, a stalemate feels undervalued. The draw offers a reasonable balance between risk and price.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals CSKA Sofia’s Europa League matches average 2.7 total goals (10 scored, 9 conceded in 7), while OFI’s only match finished 3-0. CSKA’s under/over profile shows more games staying under higher goal lines: only 2 of their 7 matches went over 2.5, and none went over 3.5. With OFI expected to sit deep and protect their lead, a more controlled game with limited scoring looks likely. Take under 3.5 goals at the best available price from the goals market.
• Value Tip: Both Teams to Score – Yes CSKA Sofia have scored in 5 of their 7 Europa League matches and average 1.7 goals at home, but they also concede 1.7 per home game. OFI, meanwhile, have already put 3 past CSKA and will be dangerous on the counter. While the exact BTTS odds are not listed, the combination of CSKA’s need to attack, their defensive frailties, and OFI’s proven attacking edge suggests BTTS could be a value angle, especially if priced generously relative to the 45% away win and 45% draw probabilities.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.