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Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Celje and Egnatia Rrogozhinë meet in Celje on 28 July 2026 in the second leg of their UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. After a thrilling 3-3 draw in Albania at Demrozi Stadium on 22 July 2026, this return fixture is perfectly poised with everything to play for.

The first leg showcased both sides’ attacking intent and defensive vulnerability, leaving the tie wide open. Celje now enjoy home advantage in Celje, but Egnatia Rrogozhinë arrive with the stronger overall qualifying form and the psychological boost of having already scored three times in the matchup. With progression to the next qualifying round at stake, this clash should again appeal to fans looking for Champions League qualifying predictions, goal-heavy betting angles, and detailed Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë analysis.

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Key Stats

  • Celje have drawn their only UEFA Champions League qualifier so far this season, a 3-3 away result, scoring and conceding an average of 3.0 goals per game.
  • The only recent head-to-head meeting between these sides ended Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3-3 Celje on 22 July 2026 in the UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round.
  • Across three Champions League qualifiers this campaign, Egnatia Rrogozhinë have scored 10 goals (3.3 per match) and conceded 5 (1.7 per match), with no clean sheets.

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: Not available vs Not available
  • Points: Not available vs Not available
  • Goals For: 3 (Celje qualifiers total) vs 10 (Egnatia Rrogozhinë qualifiers total)
  • Goals Against: 3 (Celje qualifiers total) vs 5 (Egnatia Rrogozhinë qualifiers total)
  • Clean Sheets: Celje 0 vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0 (tournament statistics)

There is no formal group-stage or league table yet for these qualifiers, but early tournament statistics sketch a clear contrast in profiles. Celje have played just one match, the 3-3 draw in Rrogozhine, and therefore sit on a single draw with three goals scored and three conceded. Their form string in this Champions League campaign is simply one draw.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë, by contrast, already have three qualifiers behind them, with a record of one win and two draws (form string DWD). They have been prolific at home, scoring 9 goals in 2 home qualifiers at an average of 4.5 per game, but more restrained away with 1 goal in 1 match. Defensively they have yet to keep a clean sheet, conceding in all three outings, but they also remain unbeaten. That combination of attacking firepower and resilience underpins their slight edge going into this decisive leg.

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Key Matchups

Celje attacking unit vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë back line

Without individual top-scorer data, the focus shifts to collective output. Celje’s attack has started this Champions League run with 3 goals in their only game, averaging 3.0 per match. They found the net in three different time windows in the first leg (31–45, 46–60 and 61–75 minutes), suggesting they can sustain pressure across the middle phases of the match rather than relying on early bursts.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s defense has been leaky but resilient, conceding 5 goals in 3 qualifiers at 1.7 per game. Goals against have come in several time bands, notably late in halves (31–45 and 61–75 minutes). This pattern hints that Celje’s ability to maintain tempo into those periods could again trouble the Albanian side, especially with home support and familiarity with conditions in Celje.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë forwards vs Celje defensive structure

Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s front line has been one of the standout units of the qualifying rounds so far. With 10 goals in 3 matches, they average 3.3 goals per game, and have shown they can strike early (goals in the 0–15 minute window) and late (a significant share between 76–90 minutes). Their biggest win so far, a 6-1 home victory, underlines their capacity to overwhelm opponents when they gain momentum.

Celje’s defense, by contrast, has only one Champions League outing to judge, but conceding 3 goals in that game, including one in the opening 15 minutes and another late in the second half, suggests vulnerability at key psychological moments. They have yet to register a clean sheet in the tournament, and with Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s attack consistently finding ways through, this matchup could again tilt the tie towards a high-scoring contest.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides are relatively unfamiliar opponents in European competition, but their first clash in Albania set a dramatic tone for the tie. The only recent head-to-head encounter produced six goals and no clear winner, leaving this second leg delicately balanced.

  • 22 July 2026: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3-3 Celje (UEFA Champions League)

Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Prediction

Stats suggest a finely balanced second leg, with the prediction model giving Celje just a 10% chance of winning in regulation time, and both the draw and an Egnatia Rrogozhinë victory each rated at 45 out of 100. That implies a strong expectation that the visitors avoid defeat, aligning with their “Win or draw” edge and unbeaten DWD qualifying run.

Celje’s home advantage and three-goal showing in the first leg mean they cannot be discounted, especially if they can tighten up at the back. However, Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s broader sample of three games, their 10 goals scored, and their superior comparison indices (form 83 vs 17, attack 77 vs 23, and overall 59.6 vs 40.6) point to the Albanian side being slightly stronger across the tie. With both teams yet to keep a clean sheet and the prediction advice leaning towards “draw or Egnatia Rrogozhinë and over 2.5 goals”, another open, high-scoring match is likely.

Predicted Score: Celje 2-2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Celje Recent Form

In UEFA Champions League qualifying, Celje have played one match so far and drawn it, a 3-3 result away to Egnatia Rrogozhinë. That single outing shows they are capable of matching a free-scoring opponent, but also that their defense can be exposed. Their broader tournament statistics list one draw, no wins and no defeats, with three goals scored and three conceded.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Recent Form

Egnatia Rrogozhinë enter the second leg unbeaten in three Champions League qualifiers, with a DWD record. They opened with a heavy home win, followed by another positive home result and then the 3-3 draw against Celje. Across those three matches they have scored 10 and conceded 5, illustrating a strong attacking identity but also a tendency to allow opponents chances. Their recent form index of 56 over the last five games underscores a generally positive trajectory.

Celje Possible Starting Lineup

GK: Ž. Frelih or S. Sluga; Defenders: Ł. Bejger, David Castro, L. Koutris, P. Širvys, A. Tutyškinas, G. Vodeb, N. Vukasović, D. Vukliševič, I. Ćalušić; Midfielders: M. Zabukovnik, Papa Mustapha Daniel, Stijan Gobec, D. Hrka, F. Jevšenak, M. Kvesić, T. Letonja, R. Požeg, J. Pranjić, S. Sešlar, M. Avdyli, Y. Dukuly, M. Ivanšek, V. Tusha; Forwards: A. Kotnik, A. Kucys, M. Poplatnik, D. Suhovrsnik.

Celje have used a 4-4-2 formation in their only Champions League qualifier so far, a shape that balances their attacking and defensive responsibilities. With several experienced defenders such as David Castro and L. Koutris, and a deep midfield pool including S. Sešlar and M. Kvesić, they have the tools to be more compact at home while still supporting forwards like A. Kotnik and M. Poplatnik. Rotation between goalkeepers Ž. Frelih and S. Sluga is possible, but stability at the back will be crucial after conceding three times in the first leg.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Possible Starting Lineup

GK: M. Dajsinani or L. Tandilashvili; Defenders: N. Ajetovikj, Z. Əliyev, E. Bitri, A. Fangaj, Guillem Jaime, E. Ndreca, A. Poci, G. Smajli, E. Sota, A. Xhemajli; Midfielders: Andrey Yago, A. Aleksi, I. Diabaté, Fernando Medeiros, M. Januzi, Jefferson, A. Kryeziu, K. Selmani, A. Albanese, I. Gruda, K. Loukili; Forwards: D. Adjessa, S. Bakayoko, D. Duro, J. Montenegro, Afonso Rodrigues.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë have alternated between 3-5-2 and 5-3-2 in their three qualifiers, suggesting tactical flexibility. A back three or five built around defenders like E. Bitri and Guillem Jaime allows wing-backs such as E. Ndreca to push forward, supporting a midfield that includes creative and hard-working profiles like Fernando Medeiros and A. Aleksi. Up front, options such as S. Bakayoko, J. Montenegro and Afonso Rodrigues give them pace and finishing ability, underpinning their impressive 10-goal haul so far. Expect a cautious but dangerous setup, ready to exploit transitions in Celje.

Celje Team News

No significant absences reported.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Celje:

  • None reported.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Celje vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Double chance – Draw or Egnatia Rrogozhinë. With the prediction model assigning Celje only a 10% chance of victory and both the draw and away win each at 45 out of 100, the value lies in backing the visitors not to lose. Egnatia Rrogozhinë are unbeaten in three qualifiers (DWD) and have the stronger overall form and attacking metrics.
  • Goals Tip: Over 2.5 total goals. The advice leans explicitly towards “draw or Egnatia Rrogozhinë and over 2.5 goals”, and the data supports it: Celje’s only match ended 3-3, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s three qualifiers average 3.3 goals for and 1.7 against per game. Both sides are yet to keep a clean sheet in this Champions League campaign, pointing strongly to another high-scoring encounter.
  • Value Tip: Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – Yes. Celje have scored and conceded in their only qualifier, and Egnatia Rrogozhinë have found the net in all three of theirs while also conceding in every game. Their comparison indices show a strong attack for Egnatia Rrogozhinë (attack index 77 vs Celje’s 23) but a more balanced defensive picture, suggesting chances at both ends and making BTTS an appealing angle.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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