Bournemouth host Aston Villa at the Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth on 7 February 2026. The home side sit 12th on 33 points, while Villa are 3rd with 46 points and chasing Champions League qualification. Recent history clearly leans towards Villa: across the last five league meetings, Villa have won three, with two draws and an aggregate score of 11–4 in their favour.
Bournemouth come into this game with solid momentum (form string “WWDWL”) and a strong home profile. They have lost only 2 of 12 league games at the Vitality, winning 6 and drawing 4, with 19 goals scored and 13 conceded. Their home goals-for average is 1.6, while they allow just 1.1 per game, suggesting a competitive, well-balanced side on their own pitch. Top scorer Antoine Semenyo (12 league goals) is available and should be central to their attacking threat. However, Bournemouth are dealing with a long injury list (including J. Kluivert and M. Tavernier), which may limit depth and options from the bench.
Aston Villa, despite a slightly patchy recent five-game sequence (“LWLDW”), have the stronger overall season profile. They boast 14 wins from 24, with 17 goals scored and 16 conceded away from home (averages of 1.4 for and 1.3 against per away match). Defensively they are tighter than Bournemouth overall (1.1 goals conceded per game vs Bournemouth’s 1.8). Key creator M. Rogers (7 goals, 5 assists) is fit, but Villa are missing several important midfielders (B. Kamara, J. McGinn, Y. Tielemans), and top scorer O. Watkins (8 goals) is listed as questionable, which slightly dampens their attacking ceiling.
The statistics suggest a relatively tight, medium-scoring contest. Bournemouth’s home scoring rate (1.6) versus Villa’s away concessions (1.3) points towards at least one goal for the hosts, while Villa’s 1.4 away goals per game against Bournemouth’s 1.1 conceded at home implies the visitors should also find the net. History and league position both favour Villa, but injuries and Bournemouth’s home resilience narrow the gap.
Verdict & Score Prediction
Form and historical dominance give Aston Villa a slight edge, but Bournemouth’s strong home record and Villa’s absentees point towards a close game. We predict a 1–1 draw as the most likely outcome, with Villa marginally more likely to edge a tight game than to lose. For odds analysis, that profile supports value on Villa double chance (away win or draw) and both teams to score.
