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Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Vancouver FC host Supra du Quebec at Willoughby Community Park Stadium on 6 September 2026 in a Canadian Premier League Group Stage clash that could be pivotal in the race for the upper half of the table. With only five points separating the sides, this fixture looks like a classic mid-season six-pointer between two teams still searching for consistency.

The hosts come in 4th with 27 points from 20 matches, boasting a positive goal difference and a solid home record. Supra du Quebec sit 5th on 22 points from 19 games, more explosive in attack but far leakier at the back. Recent meetings between Vancouver FC and Supra du Quebec have produced goals and drama, making this an intriguing betting and tactical matchup for Canadian Premier League followers.

Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec Key Stats

  • Vancouver FC are 4th with 27 points from 20 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 23 in the Canadian Premier League Group Stage.
  • In their last meeting on 17 July 2026, Vancouver FC thrashed Supra du Quebec 5-1 away at CEPSUM Stadium.
  • Season statistics show Vancouver FC average 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Supra du Quebec average 1.4 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 4 vs 5
  • Points: 27 vs 22
  • Goals For: 26 vs 27
  • Goals Against: 23 vs 33
  • Clean Sheets: Vancouver FC 3 (tournament statistics), Supra du Quebec 1 (tournament statistics)

The standings underline how finely balanced this contest is. Vancouver FC have turned 8 wins and 3 draws from 20 matches into 27 points, with a goal difference of +3 (26 scored, 23 conceded). Supra du Quebec, with a game in hand, have 22 points from 19 matches, scoring slightly more (27) but conceding significantly more (33) for a -6 goal difference.

Home and away splits add further nuance. Vancouver FC are strong at Willoughby Community Park Stadium: 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 home games, scoring 14 and conceding just 9. Supra du Quebec’s away record is competitive but fragile: 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats in 9 road matches, with 16 goals scored but 18 conceded. On balance, Vancouver’s defensive solidity at home contrasts with Supra’s high-variance, attack-minded but porous profile away from home.

Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec Key Matchups

T. Campbell vs L. Kwemi

For Vancouver FC, Terran Campbell has been a key attacking outlet. Across 20 appearances (11 starts, 428 minutes), he has scored 4 goals, supported by 12 total shots and 5 key passes, with a rating of 6.9. His ability to impact games despite relatively modest minutes suggests he is an efficient finisher and a useful option either as a starter or impact substitute.

Opposite him, Supra du Quebec’s main attacking threat is Loïc Adrien Kwemi. In 17 appearances (14 starts, 593 minutes), Kwemi has 5 goals, 11 shots on target from 18 attempts, and has converted 2 penalties, posting an impressive 7.2 rating. He also contributes defensively with 10 tackles and 3 interceptions, indicating he can press and work off the ball. This matchup pits Campbell’s opportunism against Kwemi’s more rounded and higher-volume attacking profile, with both capable of deciding the game in a single moment.

I. Ssewankambo vs D. Choinière

In midfield creativity, Vancouver FC lean on Isak Ssali Ssewankambo. In 7 appearances (5 starts, 185 minutes), he has supplied 2 assists, completing 75 passes at 84% accuracy. While his sample size is smaller, those numbers hint at a tidy, progressive passer who can link play and deliver in the final third when given minutes.

For Supra du Quebec, David Choinière is a key playmaker. Over 18 appearances (14 starts, 640 minutes), he has provided 3 assists and taken 10 shots (6 on target), with 15 key passes and 239 total passes at 86% accuracy. His 6.61 rating reflects steady creative output, and his ability to find space and pick passes between the lines could test Vancouver’s midfield structure. The duel between Ssewankambo’s control and Choinière’s vision may shape which side dominates territory and chance creation.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have already met twice in the 2026 Canadian Premier League Group Stage, producing a lopsided win for Vancouver FC and a tight draw. Both matches have shown Vancouver’s capacity to hurt Supra du Quebec in different game states.

  • 17 July 2026: Supra du Quebec 1-5 Vancouver FC (Canadian Premier League)
  • 23 May 2026: Vancouver FC 1-1 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League)

Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction

Stats suggest a finely poised contest, but with a tilt toward the hosts. The prediction model gives Vancouver FC a 45% chance of victory, with the draw also at 45% and Supra du Quebec at just 10%. That aligns with the standings and home/away splits: Vancouver are more secure defensively, particularly at home, while Supra du Quebec’s attacking punch is offset by a leaky back line that concedes 1.7 goals per match on average.

Recent performance indices show Supra du Quebec slightly ahead in overall form and attacking output, but Vancouver FC lead in the head-to-head comparison and defensive metrics. Vancouver’s 5-1 away win in July is hard to ignore; it exposed Supra’s vulnerability to fast transitions and clinical finishing. Given the high probability assigned to Vancouver “win or draw” and the near-equal weighting of home win versus stalemate, a tight, relatively low-scoring home success feels the most plausible outcome.

Predicted Score: Vancouver FC 2-1 Supra du Quebec

Vancouver FC Recent Form

In the league standings, Vancouver FC’s recent form string reads LLLDW, reflecting a rocky patch followed by a stabilising win. Over the broader run of tournament statistics, they have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats from 20 matches, with 26 goals scored and 23 conceded. Their last-five performance index shows limited attacking output (2 goals scored, 7 conceded across 5 games), but their home record remains a relative strength.

Supra du Quebec Recent Form

Supra du Quebec’s standings form is WDLLD, which mirrors inconsistency: an encouraging win followed by defeats and draws that have stalled momentum. Across 19 matches, they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. Their last-five performance index is slightly better than Vancouver’s in attack (6 goals scored and 7 conceded in 5 games), but defensive frailties continue to undermine their results, especially late in matches.

Vancouver FC Possible Starting Lineup

GK: C. Irving; Defenders: M. Doner, Thomas Geoffrey Field, P. Gee, I. Ssewankambo; Midfielders: M. Polisi, N. Mezquida, M. Amissi, L. Toomey; Forwards: T. Campbell, L. Mousset.

Vancouver FC have a well-balanced squad profile. At the back, Thomas Geoffrey Field and P. Gee bring experience, while I. Ssewankambo can operate either as a defender or in midfield, adding flexibility. In midfield, Marcello Polisi offers ball-winning and distribution, supported by creative options like N. Mezquida and M. Amissi. Up front, the presence of L. Mousset and T. Campbell gives Vancouver both a physical target and a mobile finisher. Tactical shapes have varied this season, with 4-2-3-1 used most often, suggesting a double pivot shielding the defence and allowing three advanced midfielders to support a lone striker.

Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup

Key players likely to feature include L. Kwemi and I. Conde in attack, supported by midfielders such as D. Choinière, S. Rea, Alessandro Biello and A. Sissoko, with defensive options like D. Abzi, C. Auguste and M. Chretien.

Supra du Quebec’s tactical identity leans towards proactive, front-foot football. With Kwemi and Conde providing goals and movement, and creative midfielders like Choinière and Rea supplying passes and shots from distance, they carry a persistent attacking threat. However, defenders such as Abzi, Auguste and Chretien are heavily involved and pick up a high number of cards, underlining how often they are exposed. Managing the balance between attacking intent and defensive stability will be crucial away from home.

Vancouver FC Team News

No significant absences reported.

Supra du Quebec Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Vancouver FC:

  • None reported.

Supra du Quebec:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec

Exactly 3 distinct betting angles stand out from the statistical profile and prediction probabilities.

  • Result Tip: Vancouver FC Draw No Bet. With a 45% home win probability and only 10% assigned to a Supra du Quebec victory, backing Vancouver on a safety net market like Draw No Bet aligns with the “win or draw” advice. Vancouver’s strong home record (5 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses) and their 5-1 away win in July reinforce the edge, while still respecting the high 45% draw likelihood.
  • Goals Tip: Over 1.5 Total Goals. Vancouver FC matches average 2.5 goals per game (26 for, 23 against in 20), while Supra du Quebec’s average is 3.2 (27 for, 33 against in 19). Both recent head-to-head clashes saw at least two goals (1-1 and 5-1). Given both teams’ scoring records and Supra’s defensive vulnerability, over 1.5 goals looks a statistically robust selection.
  • Value Tip: Both Teams to Score. Supra du Quebec have failed to score in only 3 of 19 league matches, and Vancouver FC have failed to score in 8 of 20 but have found the net in both previous meetings this season. With attacking threats like Kwemi, Conde, Choinière and Rea for the visitors, and Campbell and Mousset for the hosts, plus the open nature of their July encounter, BTTS offers potential value where markets might overrate Vancouver’s defensive edge at home.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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