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Supra du Quebec vs Forge Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Supra du Quebec welcome league leaders Forge to CEPSUM Stadium on 28 August 2026 in a Canadian Premier League Group Stage clash that pits an expansion struggler against the division’s benchmark side. With the hosts stuck in the lower half and Forge setting the pace at the top, this fixture has clear implications at both ends of the table.

Supra sit 6th with 19 points from 18 matches, fighting to stay in touch with the mid-table pack after an inconsistent run. Forge, by contrast, have 41 points from the same number of games and boast both the best defence and one of the sharpest attacks in the league. For bettors and fans searching for a Supra du Quebec vs Forge prediction, this matchup offers a classic question: can home advantage and attacking talent upset the form book, or will Forge’s structure and winning habit prevail again?

Played under the lights at CEPSUM Stadium, this will also be the fourth meeting between the sides in 2026, with Forge having won all three previous encounters. Supra will be desperate to turn that head-to-head narrative around, while Forge know that another victory would further tighten their grip on top spot and reinforce their status as title favourites.

Supra du Quebec vs Forge Key Stats

  • Supra du Quebec are 6th with 19 points from 18 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 33 in the Canadian Premier League.
  • Forge have beaten Supra du Quebec in all three meetings in 2026, including a 3-2 home win on 19 August 2026.
  • Season statistics show Supra averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Forge average 1.6 scored and only 0.7 conceded.

Supra du Quebec vs Forge — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 6 vs 1
  • Points: 19 vs 41
  • Goals For: 26 vs 29
  • Goals Against: 33 vs 13
  • Clean Sheets: Supra du Quebec 0 (tournament statistics) vs Forge 9 (tournament statistics)

The standings underline the gap between these two sides. Supra du Quebec have won just 5 of their 18 matches, with a negative goal difference of -7 and 33 goals conceded — the kind of defensive record that typically anchors a team in the lower half. Their Group Stage form string of DLLDW in recent league outings reflects that inconsistency: occasional wins, but too many dropped points.

Forge, by contrast, sit top with 13 wins from 18 and a goal difference of +16. They have conceded only 13 goals across the campaign, backed by an outstanding 9 clean sheets in tournament statistics. Their Group Stage form of WWDWWWLWWWWWWDLLWW shows a side that wins far more often than not, with only three losses all season. On paper, this is very much a first-place juggernaut visiting a mid-table side still finding its identity.

Supra du Quebec vs Forge Key Matchups

L. Kwemi vs D. Nimick

Supra’s main attacking threat comes from forward L. Kwemi. He has 4 goals in 15 appearances, with 12 shots and 9 on target, plus an impressive 80% passing accuracy and 2 key passes. He has also converted 2 penalties from 2, underlining his composure in front of goal. His dribbling numbers (31 attempts, 15 successful) show he is willing to take on defenders and create his own chances.

Opposite him, Forge centre-back D. Nimick has been one of the league’s standout defenders. In 16 appearances and 720 minutes, he has scored 3 goals, showing he is a set-piece threat, while contributing 388 passes at 89% accuracy and 8 tackles, 4 blocks, and 8 interceptions. He has won 18 of 26 duels and drawn 5 fouls, and although he has 4 yellow cards, he has yet to see red. This duel between Supra’s most productive finisher and Forge’s most complete defender could go a long way to deciding whether the hosts can break down the league’s best back line.

S. Rea vs T. Borges

In midfield creativity, Supra rely heavily on playmaker S. Rea. Across 15 appearances (14 starts) and 658 minutes, he has 1 goal and 2 assists, but more importantly 327 passes at 86% accuracy and a league-leading 22 key passes for his team. His 20 dribble attempts with 9 successful show he can carry the ball between the lines, and he draws more fouls (9) than he commits (2), helping Supra progress up the pitch.

Forge’s answer is T. Borges, one of the top assist providers in the competition. In 18 appearances (16 starts) and 558 minutes, Borges has 1 goal and 3 assists, with 157 passes at 80% accuracy and a standout 17 key passes. He also contributes defensively with 13 tackles and 6 interceptions, and is heavily involved in duels (71 total, 27 won). Both Rea and Borges are central to their teams’ chance creation, and whichever playmaker finds more space between the lines could tilt the match’s attacking balance.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have already built a short but intense rivalry in 2026, and Forge have dominated the early chapters. All three meetings this year have gone the way of the Hamilton side, with Supra du Quebec yet to take a point.

  • 19 August 2026: Forge 3-2 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League)
  • 05 July 2026: Supra du Quebec 1-2 Forge (Canadian Premier League)
  • 13 May 2026: Forge 1-0 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League)

Supra du Quebec vs Forge Prediction

Stats suggest a match in which Forge control large spells of possession and territory, while Supra look to exploit transitions and individual quality from players like Kwemi and Rea. Supra’s season profile — 26 goals scored but 33 conceded, with an average of 1.8 goals against per game — points to an open game, but their lack of clean sheets and recent Group Stage form of DLLDW raise serious questions about their ability to contain the league leaders for 90 minutes.

Forge arrive with a defensive record that is elite by CPL standards: just 13 goals conceded in 18 matches and 9 clean sheets in tournament statistics. Their recent league form string of WWDWWWLWWWWWWDLLWW shows that even when not at their best, they usually find a way to win. The head-to-head trend in 2026 — three wins from three, with scores of 1-0, 2-1, and 3-2 — also hints at Forge’s capacity to edge tight contests and manage different game states.

The prediction model gives Supra only a 10% chance of victory, with a 45% chance of a draw and 45% for a Forge win. With the “winner” tag leaning towards Forge (comment: win or draw) and advice of a double chance draw or Forge, the numbers clearly see the visitors as strong favourites, albeit with a significant draw probability that reflects the potential for a cagey away performance.

Predicted Score: Supra du Quebec 1-2 Forge

Supra du Quebec Recent Form

Supra du Quebec’s recent Group Stage form of DLLDW underlines their inconsistency. They have struggled to build momentum, with just one win in their last five league outings and a defence that continues to leak goals. Across the full 18-match campaign, they have 5 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, scoring 26 and conceding 33, with no clean sheets in tournament statistics and 3 matches where they failed to score. Their attacking numbers (1.4 goals per game) are respectable, but their defensive issues and tendency to concede late — a significant share of goals conceded coming in the 76–90 minute window — remain a major concern.

Forge Recent Form

Forge’s Group Stage form string of WWDWWWLWWWWWWDLLWW paints the picture of a dominant side. Over 18 matches, they have 13 wins, 2 draws, and only 3 defeats, with 29 goals scored and just 13 conceded. They have kept 9 clean sheets in tournament statistics and have failed to score only 3 times. Their last five-match snapshot in the prediction data shows 6 goals scored and 5 conceded (average 1.2 for, 1 against), indicating a slight tightening of margins but still a team that finds ways to take points. Defensively, they are disciplined across the 90 minutes, with no period where they regularly collapse.

Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup

GK; Defenders: D. Abzi, C. Auguste, M. Chretien; Midfielders: Alessandro Biello, S. Mlah, A. Sissoko, S. Rea; Forwards: L. Kwemi, I. Conde

Supra’s likely core is built around their known statistical contributors. At the back, defenders like D. Abzi, C. Auguste, and M. Chretien have all logged significant minutes, with Chretien in particular standing out for his 479 completed passes at 88% accuracy and strong duel numbers (32 wins from 47). In midfield, Alessandro Biello offers ball retention and defensive work (338 passes at 93% accuracy, 20 tackles, 15 interceptions), while S. Mlah and A. Sissoko add energy and balance. In the final third, the creative hub is S. Rea, supported by finishers L. Kwemi and I. Conde, both of whom bring goals and dribbling threat. Tactically, Supra have used several shapes — including 4-2-3-1 and 4-4-2 — and are likely to opt for a compact back four with Rea pulling strings between the lines.

Forge Possible Starting Lineup

GK D. Bertaud; Defenders: D. Nimick, M. Jevremović, R. Rama, N. Bickford; Midfielders: K. Bekker, A. Aromatario, T. Borges; Forwards: N. Ampomah, Molham Babouli, B. Wright

Forge’s squad list and season statistics point towards a flexible side comfortable in both 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1, systems they have used most often. At the back, D. Nimick and M. Jevremović provide aerial dominance and passing from central defence, with full-backs like R. Rama and N. Bickford adding width. In midfield, veteran K. Bekker and workhorse A. Aromatario (296 passes at 81% accuracy, 25 tackles, 17 interceptions) give stability and ball-winning, allowing playmaker T. Borges to operate higher up the pitch. Up front, options such as N. Ampomah (2 goals, 1 assist), Molham Babouli, and B. Wright offer a mix of movement, hold-up play, and penalty-box presence. Expect Forge to control tempo, press selectively, and use their wide players to stretch Supra’s back line.

Supra du Quebec Team News

No significant absences reported.

Forge Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Supra du Quebec:

  • None reported.

Forge:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Supra du Quebec vs Forge

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Back Forge in the double chance (draw or away win). With the prediction probabilities giving Supra only a 10% chance of victory and Forge a 45% chance, plus 45% on the draw, the away side are clear favourites not to lose. Their superior league position, defensive record, and perfect 3-0 head-to-head in 2026 all support a conservative result play in Forge’s favour.
  • Goals Tip: Both teams to score. Supra average 1.4 goals for and 1.8 against per match, while Forge average 1.6 scored and 0.7 conceded. All three head-to-heads in 2026 have seen Supra score at least once (2-3, 1-2, 0-1), and Supra’s attacking talent, combined with their defensive frailty, suggests a strong chance that both sides find the net again.
  • Value Tip: Anytime goalscorer — L. Kwemi (Supra du Quebec). With 4 goals in 15 appearances, 9 shots on target from 12 attempts, and 2 penalties scored, Kwemi is Supra’s most reliable finisher and designated spot-kick taker. Even if Forge are favourites, backing Kwemi to score offers value in a market where individual form and penalty duties can outweigh team underdog status.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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