Spain Slightly Favored Over Argentina in 2026 World Cup Final

The 2026 World Cup final is set, featuring Spain facing off against Lionel Messi's Argentina. Spain enters the match as a modest favorite according to betting odds.

On Wednesday, Argentina overcame a 1-0 deficit against England, powered by goals that turned the game around in less than ten minutes. This victory denied England their first World Cup title since 1966 and secured Argentina’s place in Sunday’s final.

Despite this strong performance, bookmakers see Argentina as the underdog once again. Spain, who dominated France 2-0 earlier in the week, opened at -175 odds to win the tournament, while Argentina stands at +125 with BetMGM. The prediction platform Kalshi gives Spain a 58% chance to claim the trophy compared to Argentina’s 42%.

Spain’s win over France was highlighted by a penalty from Mikel Oyarzabal and a second-half goal by Pedro Porro. The French side appeared less formidable than in earlier matches of the tournament.

The final is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET on Sunday at the New York/New Jersey Stadium located in East Rutherford, New Jersey.