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Kylian Mbappé's Historic World Cup Chase and Belgium's Redemption Quest

Kylian Mbappé walked off the pitch in Philadelphia with the match ball under his arm and a bigger prize in his sights.

Two more goals in France’s 3-0 dismantling of Sweden pushed him to 18 World Cup strikes in 18 games, one behind Lionel Messi’s all-time record of 19. He also moved level with the Argentine at the top of this tournament’s scoring chart on six.

The chase is historic. Mbappé knows it. Everyone does. But his eyes are fixed somewhere else: New York, July 19, and a World Cup final he expects to be playing in.

“The goal is to go as far as possible – to make it to July 19th and come back here,” he told reporters, framing the night not as a milestone, but a checkpoint.

France brushed Sweden aside with the authority of a team that has been here before. Mbappé’s double underlined the gulf. Les Bleus accelerated when they felt like it, managed the game when they needed to, and never looked remotely troubled.

The numbers around Mbappé are already absurd. Eighteen World Cup goals. Eighteen World Cup matches. A scoring rate that belongs more to video games than to the sport’s biggest stage. Every shot, every run, now carries the weight of history.

He refuses to be consumed by it.

“The more goals you score, the higher you climb in the rankings – I’m not telling anyone anything new there,” he said. “But I’m also convinced that Leo is going to score more goals, so I don’t focus too much on that. I’m more focused on the opponents we might face and how close we’re getting to our goal: the final.”

Messi’s Argentina will expect to add to their captain’s tally when they meet Cape Verde in the last 32 on Friday. Mbappé’s route is far more rugged. Next stop: Paraguay in Philadelphia, for a place in the quarter-finals and a potential showdown with co-hosts Canada or Morocco.

Paraguay’s wall awaits

Paraguay arrive with a game plan that is no secret and no joke.

They dragged four-time world champions Germany into a trench war on Monday, then kicked them out of the tournament on penalties after an ultra-defensive display that smothered space, stalled rhythm and drained belief. It was not pretty. It was brutally effective.

No one expects them to suddenly open up against France.

Les Bleus know it. Mbappé knows it. This will be a different kind of test – less spectacle, more patience.

“I think we’ll keep working between now and the Paraguay match to see what we can improve, because there are still some sequences that aren't quite clear enough, there’s room for improvement,” Mbappé said. “Still, I think it’s positive overall, and our ability to score goals means we always have the chance to take the lead in matches.”

That ability changes everything. Against deep, disciplined blocks, France can still lean on individual brilliance, set-piece quality, and a forward line that needs only a sliver of daylight. Paraguay will dig in. France will probe. One lapse could decide it.

And hovering above it all is that record. One goal to match Messi. Two to pass him. But Mbappé has made his stance plain: the only number that matters is one – one more World Cup winner’s medal.

On the other side of the bracket, another European giant is trying to rewrite its own World Cup story.

Belgium arrived at this tournament burdened by the memory of Qatar 2022, when a golden generation stumbled out in the group stage just four years after finishing third in Russia. This time, they have at least cleared that first psychological hurdle.

A 5-1 demolition of New Zealand on Friday sealed top spot in Group G. One win, two draws, unbeaten, job one done.

“We wanted to finish first in the group stage and we succeeded,” coach Rudi Garcia said in French. “Of course we wanted to win more — we know the story of our World Cup so far. Now it is time for the knockout phase. Senegal is a big team. But, you have to beat them, too, if you want to go far in a World Cup.”

The message is clear: the group stage was a correction. The knockout rounds will define them.

Belgium warned by chaos all around

Waiting in the round of 32 is Senegal, third in Group I with three points and a plus-2 goal differential, hardened by a brutal section that included France and Erling Haaland’s Norway.

On paper, Belgium are favourites. Recent history screams caution.

“We know it will be a tough match,” Romelu Lukaku said in French on Monday. “Senegal has a lot of top-level players, and the coach is, too. I think it’s 50-50. We really shouldn’t underestimate them.”

Events elsewhere backed him up. Within hours of his comments, Germany were ambushed by Paraguay and dumped out on penalties. Morocco then sent the Netherlands spinning to their earliest World Cup exit. Two more reminders that reputations don’t win knockout ties.

“It doesn’t matter who the favorite is,” forward Charles De Ketelaere said. “We have confidence and need to be sharp. Yesterday showed that it doesn’t matter if you are the favorite.”

Belgium’s confidence rests on a solid base. With Thibaut Courtois in goal, they have conceded just two in three games. The back line has held, even without Zeno Debast, who has been sidelined all summer.

There is finally a glimmer of good news on that front. Debast returned to training on Monday after an MRI on his left leg and worked again Tuesday, his knee taped, his movement monitored.

“Zeno Debast is with the group, but tomorrow is still too soon,” Garcia said. “He is making progress, though. He still needs time to get fully fit, as was anticipated. I am very satisfied with the defenders we have already called upon.”

So the core stays the same. Courtois behind an established defence, Lukaku leading the line, creative players buzzing around him. The structure is there. The question is whether it can withstand the chaos of knockout football.

Senegal’s punch, Belgium’s nerve

Senegal will not arrive to play the role of plucky outsider. They have their own statement win in the bank – a 5-0 thrashing of Iraq – and a star in Sadio Mané who can tilt a match in a heartbeat.

Their problem lies at the other end.

Goalkeeper Édouard Mendy, injured in a 3-2 loss to Norway in the group, will not be available, coach Pape Thiaw confirmed. That likely hands another start to Mory Diaw, who stepped in against Iraq and did everything asked of him.

“Mory had a great performance,” Thiaw said in French. “He kept a clean sheet and I think (as) the goalkeeper tomorrow, we hope that we’ll also come up with a clean sheet.”

Thiaw is leaning into the volatility of this World Cup, not running from it.

“It’s not because you finished top of your group that you’re not going to be knocked out in the next round,” he said. “That’s exactly what happened with the Netherlands. It’s another tournament starting. We are looking for the win tomorrow so that we can continue our journey.”

That line could sit in Belgium’s dressing room wall as easily as Senegal’s. The margins are thin. One bad night, one poor decision, and four years of planning vanish.

Mbappé’s France and Garcia’s Belgium now walk the same tightrope, one chasing history, the other redemption. In a World Cup where giants are falling and underdogs are biting, who holds their nerve longest?

Kylian Mbappé's Historic World Cup Chase and Belgium's Redemption Quest