Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Cavalry FC welcome Supra du Quebec to ATCO Field on 26 September 2026 in a Canadian Premier League Group Stage clash that could further cement the hosts’ dominance at the top of the table. With Cavalry sitting clear in first place and boasting the best attack and defence in the division, this home date offers another chance to underline their title credentials.

Supra du Quebec arrive in sixth, fighting to stay in touch with the upper half after an inconsistent campaign marked by defensive frailty but occasional attacking sparks. Recent meetings between these sides have been competitive, including a draw in August, which adds intrigue to this fixture for fans looking for Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec prediction angles and Canadian Premier League betting tips.

With Cavalry unbeaten at home and Supra du Quebec far more dangerous on their travels than at CEPSUM Stadium, this matchup should provide a clear test of whether the visitors can disrupt the league leaders’ rhythm or whether the form book holds firm in Calgary.

Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec Key Stats

• Cavalry FC are 1st with 50 points from 22 matches, scoring 42 and conceding just 13 in the Canadian Premier League standings.
• Across their three meetings in 2026, Cavalry FC have taken two wins and one draw against Supra du Quebec, including a 2-1 home victory on 29 July 2026.
• Season statistics show Cavalry FC averaging 1.9 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per match over 22 fixtures, while Supra du Quebec average 1.4 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 1 vs 6
• Points: 50 vs 25
• Goals For: 42 vs 31
• Goals Against: 13 vs 38
• Clean Sheets: Cavalry FC 9; Supra du Quebec 2 (season statistics)

Over 22 league matches, Cavalry FC have been the benchmark side: 15 wins, 5 draws, and only 2 defeats, with a goal difference of +29. They are unbeaten at ATCO Field, winning 8 and drawing 3 at home, and scoring 24 while conceding just 7. Their defensive record is particularly striking, with an average of 0.6 goals conceded per game and 9 clean sheets overall.

Supra du Quebec, by contrast, have had a mixed campaign. Sixth in the table with 25 points, they have 7 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with a negative goal difference of -7. Interestingly, they are more productive away from home: 20 of their 31 goals have come on the road, where they average 1.8 goals scored per match, but they still concede heavily at 1.9 per away game. This profile suggests an open contest, but one where Cavalry’s balance and solidity give them a clear edge.

Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec Key Matchups

T. Warschewski vs L. Kwemi

Tobias Warschewski has been one of Cavalry FC’s key attacking outlets. Across 21 appearances and 21 starts, he has scored 4 goals and provided 3 assists, with a strong rating of 7.14. He averages 29 shots with 16 on target, and his 33 key passes underline his creative importance in the final third. His penalty record is perfect so far, scoring 2 from the spot, and he is also heavily involved in duels (162 total, 58 won), showing his all-round contribution.

For Supra du Quebec, Loïc Adrien Kwemi is the main goal threat. In 20 appearances (16 starts), he has 6 goals, making him one of the league’s more effective forwards. He has taken 28 shots with 16 on target, comparable to Warschewski’s output, and his 13 key passes and 246 total passes at 82% accuracy show he can link play as well as finish. This duel between Cavalry’s versatile attacker and Supra’s leading scorer could be decisive in determining which side controls the penalty areas.

S. Rea vs D. Klomp

Sean Rea is Supra du Quebec’s creative heartbeat from midfield. In 20 appearances (19 starts), he has scored 2 goals and supplied 3 assists, with 33 shots (12 on target) and an impressive 512 passes at 85% accuracy. His 37 key passes highlight his role as the chief chance-creator, and he also contributes defensively with tackles, blocks, and interceptions.

Opposing him is Cavalry FC defender Daan Klomp, one of the league’s standout centre-backs. Klomp has 21 appearances and has started every game, scoring 4 goals and adding 1 assist — a notable attacking return for a defender. He has completed 693 passes at 90% accuracy, with 14 interceptions and 10 tackles, and is strong in duels (78 total, 44 won). Rea’s ability to find pockets of space and feed runners will be tested by Klomp’s positioning and aerial dominance; if Klomp wins this battle, Supra’s supply line could be significantly disrupted.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have already become familiar foes in 2026, meeting three times in the Canadian Premier League Group Stage with tight, competitive scorelines.

• 09 August 2026: Supra du Quebec 1-1 Cavalry FC (Canadian Premier League)
• 29 July 2026: Cavalry FC 2-1 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League)
• 03 May 2026: Supra du Quebec 0-1 Cavalry FC (Canadian Premier League)

Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction

Stats suggest Cavalry FC should control this match. Their recent form is excellent, with a current streak of strong results and a league form line of DWWWW, while their broader season run includes long winning sequences and very few defeats. Supra du Quebec’s recent pattern of WLWLLDWDLLLWLWDLLDWLLW points to inconsistency, particularly at the back where they concede 1.7 goals per match on average.

The prediction model assigns a 50% chance to a Cavalry FC win and 50% to a draw, with effectively no probability given to an away victory. That aligns with Cavalry’s unbeaten home record and their dominance in the comparison indices for form, attack, defence, and overall strength. H2H trends also lean towards the hosts: Cavalry have taken two wins and a draw in three meetings this year, and they have already beaten Supra at ATCO Field.

Given Cavalry’s strong defence and Supra’s relatively lively but leaky away profile, a controlled home win in a match with moderate scoring looks the most plausible outcome.

Predicted Score: Cavalry FC 2-0 Supra du Quebec

Cavalry FC Recent Form

In the league standings, Cavalry FC’s recent sequence reads DWWWW, reflecting one draw followed by four straight victories. Over the wider run of 22 matches, they have produced long winning streaks, very few losses, and consistent scoring close to two goals per game while keeping goals conceded to a minimum. Their last five competitive fixtures are rated at 87 in overall form, with attacking and defensive indices both at 75, underlining a balanced, in-form side.

Supra du Quebec Recent Form

Supra du Quebec’s standings form is WLLWD, capturing their volatility: a win, two losses, a win, and a draw across the most recent stretch. Extending to the full season, their pattern WLWLLDWDLLLWLWDLLDWLLW shows brief positive bursts interrupted by frequent defeats. In their last five matches, they have scored and conceded 6 goals, with form, attack, and defence indices all around the mid-range (47 for form, 50 for attack and defence), indicating a team capable of competing in spells but lacking consistency.

Cavalry FC Possible Starting Lineup

GK: N. Ingham; Defenders: D. Klomp, A. Didic, A. Pearlman, B. Kamdem; Midfielders: H. Paton, M. Baldisimo, S. Camargo, G. Ntignee; Forwards: T. Warschewski, C. Elva.

Cavalry FC have predominantly used a 4-2-3-1 shape this season, with that formation deployed in 9 matches, and 4-4-2 as a secondary option. With a deep defensive unit featuring Klomp, Didic, and Pearlman, and a midfield that includes ball-winners like Paton and Baldisimo plus creative players such as Camargo and Ntignee, they can control possession and progress the ball efficiently. Up front, Warschewski and Elva provide movement, finishing, and set-piece threat. The squad list suggests strong depth, and with no injury data reported, Cavalry are likely to line up close to full strength.

Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup

Key players likely to feature include defenders D. Abzi, C. Auguste, and M. Chretien; midfielders S. Rea, D. Choinière, A. Sissoko, and Alessandro Biello; and attackers L. Kwemi and I. Conde.

Supra du Quebec have alternated between 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3 this season, each used once in the recorded lineup data. A 4-2-3-1 would allow them to field a double pivot with Sissoko and Biello or Auguste offering defensive protection, while Choinière and Rea supply creativity behind Kwemi and Conde. Their strengths lie in progressive passing — Rea, Choinière, and Biello all post high pass accuracy figures — but the back line has been exposed often, conceding heavily both home and away.

Cavalry FC Team News

No significant absences reported.

Supra du Quebec Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Cavalry FC:

• None reported.

Supra du Quebec:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec

Below are three data-backed betting ideas for this Canadian Premier League clash.

• Result Tip: Cavalry FC double chance (Cavalry FC or draw). With a 50 out of 100 chance assigned to a home win and 50 out of 100 to a draw, and effectively no probability given to an away victory, backing Cavalry on the double chance market aligns with their unbeaten home record and dominant underlying numbers.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. Cavalry FC concede just 0.6 goals per game and Supra du Quebec average 1.4 goals scored, while only 2 of Cavalry’s 22 league matches have gone over 3.5 goals. H2H meetings in 2026 have finished 1-0, 2-1, and 1-1, all under 3.5, supporting a relatively controlled scoreline.
• Value Tip: Cavalry FC win to nil. Cavalry have kept 9 clean sheets in 22 matches and have failed to concede more than one goal in any defeat. Supra du Quebec have failed to score in 4 matches this season and face the league’s best defence. With centre-backs like D. Klomp and A. Didic in strong form, a home win without conceding offers attractive value in a match where the visitors may struggle to create clear chances.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.