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Australia vs Brazil Predictions, Lineups, Odds & Tips: Hosts Ready to Challenge Ancelotti's Squad

Our betting expert predicts that Brazil will bounce back from their lackluster last outing by claiming victory in the second friendly of this series. The match takes place on 29 September 2026, with both sides eager to prove themselves.

Key Betting Picks

  • Brazil -1 handicap: 8/11 with SkyBet
  • Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes at 4/5 with SkyBet
  • Anytime Goalscorer: Nestory Irankunda at 4/1 with SkyBet

Brazil’s Edge

The home team has struggled recently, failing to win in their last four games and drawing three straight within regular time. Still, they remain undefeated in Brisbane's stadium, boasting two wins and a draw there. Australia has beaten Brazil only once before, making this a tough challenge especially with potential squad rotations.

Carlo Ancelotti's men are expected to improve their finishing after a few inefficient displays up front. Although Brazil hasn’t won in their last two matches and holds a modest away record with just four wins in their past 16 away games (excluding neutral venues), their quality should shine through here.

The five-time World Cup champions have dominated recent encounters, winning six out of eight meetings against Australia, with the last five victories by margins of two or more goals.

Australia’s Scoring Threat

Australia showed they can break down Brazil’s defense last time, registering seven shots including three on target and two significant chances. The visitors’ expected goals (xG) was 1.24 compared to Australia's 0.61, indicating Brazil created more opportunities but struggled to finish them.

Ancelotti’s team conceded at least once in their last three games, all featuring goals from both sides. Australia’s recent two games also saw goals for both teams, signaling a shift from typical one-sided scoring in this fixture. It seems likely both teams will score again.

Spotlight on Nestory Irankunda

Twenty-year-old attacking midfielder Nestory Irankunda is Australia's standout player. He burst onto the scene with Adelaide United, netting eight goals and assisting six times over 35 A-League matches in 2024/25. Last season with Watford, he contributed eight goal involvements in 40 Championship appearances.

Irankunda impressed last week by taking three shots and displaying his pace and creativity. His direct free-kick goal grabbed global attention, ending a five-game scoring drought at his current club, Sporting CP. He’ll be eager to boost his confidence with a goal against Brazil.

Match Outlook

Australia nearly secured just their second win ever against Brazil last Friday, leading with 22 minutes left before conceding a stoppage-time equalizer that bounced off the crossbar. Despite that setback, coach Tony Popovic remains positive, focusing on the upcoming AFC Asian Cup in January and likely to field younger players in this game.

This will be Australia's last home match before the Asian Cup, and they have never lost at Brisbane’s Suncorp Stadium.

Brazilian fans grow restless with Carlo Ancelotti, who was expected to restore their dominance but now faces pressure after a disappointing World Cup exit and the worst managerial record over 18 games for Brazil. The Selecao’s away form has been unconvincing, yet the first game against Australia showed signs of potential improvement.

With Australia possibly rotating players, Brazil could exploit that to secure another win.

Predicted Score and Goalscorers

  • Score: Australia 1-3 Brazil
  • Australia Goalscorer: Nestory Irankunda
  • Brazil Goalscorers: Vinicius Junior, Raphinha, Estevao

Likely Lineups

  • Australia: Beach, Geria, Degenek, Adamson, Italiano, Yazbek, O’Neill, K. Boss, Velupillay, Irankunda, Younis
  • Brazil: Souza, Matheuzinho, Marquinhos, Vitor Reis, Santos, Guimaraes, Danilo Santos, Estevao, Raphinha, Vinicius Junior, Endrick

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