Premier League Golden Boot Race: Will Haaland Be Stopped?

Premier League Golden Boot Race: Who Can Challenge Haaland?

The new Premier League season is nearly here, and the early odds for the Golden Boot are already shaping up to be intriguing. Erling Haaland starts as the favourite to top the scoring charts once again.

Haaland kicks off the campaign as the player to beat...

At Oddspedia, you can track the latest betting prices for the Premier League, including Golden Boot odds and title race probabilities. For current market updates, check out our EPL odds page.

Top Contenders in the Premier League Golden Boot Betting for 2026/27

The fight for the Golden Boot offers an extra layer of excitement this season. Here are the five front-runners in the early Premier League top scorer odds:

• Player: Erling Haaland Club: Manchester City Odds: 4/6 Decimal Odds: 1.67 Implied Probability: 60.00%
• Player: Alexander Isak Club: Liverpool Odds: 9/1 Decimal Odds: 10.00 Implied Probability: 10.00%
• Player: Igor Thiago Club: Brentford Odds: 12/1 Decimal Odds: 13.00 Implied Probability: 7.69%
• Player: Ollie Watkins Club: Aston Villa Odds: 16/1 Decimal Odds: 17.00 Implied Probability: 5.88%
• Player: Joao Pedro Club: Chelsea Odds: 16/1 Decimal Odds: 17.00 Implied Probability: 5.88%

Odds supplied by bet365 as of 5 August 2026.

Recent Changes in Top Scorer Odds

• 5 August 2026: Haaland remains the strong favourite. Odds for Isak, Thiago, and Watkins slipped slightly; Joao Pedro’s odds stayed steady at 16/1.
• 23 July 2026: Haaland opened as the clear favourite at 8/11. Isak followed at 8/1, with Thiago, Watkins, and Pedro rounding out the top five contenders.

Examining the Leading Golden Boot Candidates

Haaland looks set to defend his title after netting 27 league goals last season and securing the Golden Boot for the third time in four years. Manchester City’s attacking style suits him perfectly, making his position as main striker a huge advantage.

His 4/6 odds suggest a 60% chance of finishing as the top scorer, which seems fair but doesn’t leave much room for injury or unexpected drops in form.

Isak has emerged as Liverpool’s sharpest forward, known for clinical finishing and smart movement. His goal-scoring versatility makes him a serious contender.

Fitness concerns loom large though. Last season he missed considerable time due to ankle and fibula injuries. If he stays healthy for a full season, he could challenge Haaland, but his chances hinge on that.

Thiago scored 22 league goals last term, second only to Haaland. His strength and positioning inside the box make him crucial to Brentford’s attack.

Repeating that tally won’t be easy. Opponents will be more cautious, and Brentford likely won’t create as many chances as the bigger clubs. At 12/1, he’s a tempting long shot if he can maintain his sharpness.

Watkins finished last season strongly with 16 league goals and plays a central role in Villa’s offense. He regularly adds assists as well.

He has yet to reach the 25-goal mark probably needed to win the Golden Boot, but he’s capable of being among the top scorers again. Winning would require his best-ever scoring season.

Pedro bagged 15 league goals in his first Chelsea season and scored 20 across all competitions. He’s technically skilled, takes penalties, and has multiple ways to score.

Chelsea should create enough chances for him to improve, but squad rotation and competition may limit his minutes. His Golden Boot hopes depend on becoming Chelsea’s main striker.

Our Prediction: Viktor Gyokeres at 20/1

While Haaland is clearly the favourite, 4/6 is a short price so early. Our pick for value is Viktor Gyokeres of Arsenal at 20/1. He scored 14 league goals in his first English season despite adapting to a new team and league.

With a full season’s experience now, Gyokeres could take advantage of Arsenal’s attacking style and wide players creating space. Competition for minutes with Kai Havertz remains a factor, but the price leaves room for risk.

Haaland is still the one to beat, but Gyokeres offers a potentially rewarding alternative.

Premier League Top Scorer Odds: Top 20 List (as of 5 August 2026)

• Erling Haaland (Manchester City): 4/6, Decimal 1.67, 60.00%
• Alexander Isak (Liverpool): 9/1, Decimal 10.00, 10.00%
• Igor Thiago (Brentford): 12/1, Decimal 13.00, 7.69%
• Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa): 16/1, Decimal 17.00, 5.88%
• Joao Pedro (Chelsea): 16/1, Decimal 17.00, 5.88%
• Benjamin Sesko (Manchester United): 20/1, Decimal 21.00, 4.76%
• Viktor Gyokeres (Arsenal): 20/1, Decimal 21.00, 4.76%
• Antoine Semenyo (Manchester City): 25/1, Decimal 26.00, 3.85%
• Dominic Solanke (Tottenham Hotspur): 33/1, Decimal 34.00, 2.94%
• Cole Palmer (Chelsea): 33/1, Decimal 34.00, 2.94%
• Kai Havertz (Arsenal): 40/1, Decimal 41.00, 2.44%
• Yoane Wissa (Newcastle United): 40/1, Decimal 41.00, 2.44%
• Bryan Mbeumo (Manchester United): 50/1, Decimal 51.00, 1.96%
• Cody Gakpo (Liverpool): 50/1, Decimal 51.00, 1.96%
• Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds United): 50/1, Decimal 51.00, 1.96%
• Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace): 50/1, Decimal 51.00, 1.96%
• Morgan Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest): 50/1, Decimal 51.00, 1.96%
• Morgan Rogers (Chelsea): 50/1, Decimal 51.00, 1.96%
• Nick Woltemade (Newcastle United): 50/1, Decimal 51.00, 1.96%
• All Others: 66/1+, Decimal 67.00+, 1.49% or less

Premier League Golden Boot Winners: Past 10 Seasons

• 2025/26: Erling Haaland – 27 goals
• 2024/25: Mohamed Salah – 29 goals
• 2023/24: Erling Haaland – 27 goals
• 2022/23: Erling Haaland – 36 goals
• 2021/22: Son Heung-min and Mohamed Salah – 23 goals
• 2020/21: Harry Kane – 23 goals
• 2019/20: Jamie Vardy – 23 goals
• 2018/19: Mohamed Salah, Sadio Mane, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang – 22 goals
• 2017/18: Mohamed Salah – 32 goals
• 2016/17: Harry Kane – 29 goals

Tips for Betting on the Premier League Golden Boot

• Analyse Players and Teams: Look beyond reputation. A top striker in a struggling team may have fewer chances. Consider injuries and whether the player takes penalties or set pieces.
• Compare Bookmakers’ Odds: Prices can differ widely, especially for outsiders. Shopping around helps find better returns.
• Use Bonuses and Promotions: Many bookmakers offer enhanced odds, free bets, or profit boosts. Check terms carefully before using them.
• Watch Mid-Season Changes: Injuries, form, tactics, and fixture congestion can shift odds as the season progresses.
• Spot Value in Outsiders: New signings or emerging talents might be underrated early on but could shorten odds quickly if they hit form.

Premier League Betting Sites and Offers

For the best returns, visit top football betting sites offering strong specials and promotions for the 2026/27 season.

Frequently Asked Questions About Premier League Golden Boot Betting

• Who is the favourite for the Golden Boot in 2026/27? Erling Haaland leads the market at 4/6, having won it three times already.
• Where can I find the best Golden Boot odds? Oddspedia compares top bookmaker odds, updating throughout the season as circumstances change.
• Which sites offer bonuses for Premier League markets? Many top bookmakers provide welcome offers, free bets, and enhanced odds. Always read the rules before claiming.
• Where can I get Premier League predictions? Football experts publish accumulator tips and analysis for each matchweek, along with market selections.
• What other Premier League betting markets are there? Besides the Golden Boot, markets include next manager sacked odds and league winner odds.