Brazil W welcome South Korea W to Arena Pantanal for a friendly that should feel anything but casual, with Brazil using this window to sharpen a high-tempo, late-surging attack against a Korean side still a tactical unknown in 2026. The stakes are developmental rather than points-based, but for Brazil it is a chance to confirm their status as clear favourites, while South Korea test a defensive structure that, on paper, is their main path to keeping this contest tight.
In attack, Brazil’s creative burden is likely to fall on the movement and finishing of Geyse Ferreira, supported by the all-round quality of Bia Zaneratto between the lines. Behind them, the goalkeeping choice between the experienced Lelê and Lorena will shape how high Brazil can push their defensive line. For South Korea, the defensive leadership of Kim Hye-Ri in front of a goalkeeper such as Min-Jung Kim will be critical if they are to absorb Brazil’s pressure and stay in the game.
Hot Stat: Brazil W have scored 50.00% of their goals in the Friendlies Women 2026 campaign between minutes 76–90, underlining their late-game scoring threat.
Match Information
- 🏆 Tournament: Friendlies Women (Friendly International Women)
- 🏟 Venue: Arena Pantanal
- 🗓️ Date: April 12, 2026
- ⏰ Time: 01:30 UTC
Brazil W vs South Korea W Prediction
The model strongly leans Brazil’s way, with the predictions block giving Brazil W as winner and a combo advice of “Brazil W and under 3.5 goals”. Brazil’s league-phase numbers in Friendlies Women show 6 goals scored and 5 conceded in 3 matches (2.0 for and 1.7 against on average), while South Korea W have yet to play in this campaign, leaving their attacking and defensive levels at 0.0 goals for and against. The head-to-head comparison also favours Brazil, who beat South Korea 2–0 in their only recent competitive meeting (World Cup Women 2015). Given Brazil’s strong attacking metrics (100% attacking index in the head-to-head comparison) but only moderate overall form (33% in their last five block) and the prediction of under 3.5 goals, the best value angle is Brazil to win in a controlled match with limited total scoring.
In terms of style, Brazil’s card profile in this campaign is aggressive early: all four yellow cards are clustered before half-time and in extra-time, plus a red card between minutes 31–45. That suggests an intense, front-foot press that can lead to fouls high up the pitch. Possession should be Brazil-heavy, with South Korea likely dropping into a compact block and relying on Ji So-Yun and Choe Yu-Ri to launch transitions. High Brazilian possession combined with their late scoring pattern implies sustained pressure, a good corner count for the hosts, but not necessarily a goal-fest if Korea’s back line, led by Kim Hye-Ri and Jang Sel-Gi, remains organised.
Betting Markets Snapshot
- 🔥 Hot Tip: Brazil W -1.0 Asian Handicap
- ⚽ Total Goals: Under 3.5 goals
- 💥 Both Teams To Score: No
- 🎯 Total Corners: Brazil W to win the corner count
Brazil W vs South Korea W Key Stats
- Form Streak: In the Friendlies Women 2026 league phase, Brazil W are WLL (one win, two losses), with a lastFive overall form of 33%. South Korea W have not yet played in this campaign, so their form is effectively neutral but untested.
- H2H Record: The head-to-head comparison shows Brazil W leading 100%–0% in H2H, thanks to a 2–0 win over South Korea W in the 2015 World Cup Women group stage.
- Defensive Metrics: Brazil W have conceded 5 goals in 3 Friendlies Women matches (1.7 per game) with 0 clean sheets. South Korea W’s defensive numbers are blank in this campaign (0 goals conceded in 0 games), so their 100% defensive index in the comparison reflects data absence rather than proven solidity.
Team Analysis
Brazil W Focus
Brazil’s Friendlies Women campaign has been volatile but clearly attack-driven: 6 goals scored with a strong late surge pattern (3 of those 6 after the 76th minute). Their biggest win, a 5–2 away result, shows they can overwhelm opponents when their press and combinations click, but the losses (1–2 at home and 1–0 away) highlight defensive lapses, especially between minutes 46–60 where they concede 40.00% of their goals. Tactically, Brazil are likely to maintain a high line, use full-backs like Tamires or Bruninha to stretch the pitch, and rely on dynamic forwards such as Geyse Ferreira and Bia Zaneratto to attack the box. The absence of clean sheets and a red card in the 31–45 range suggest occasional over-commitment and emotional spikes, something they will want to manage better here.
South Korea W Focus
South Korea W enter this friendly without 2026 Friendlies Women data, so their current tactical efficiency is inferred from squad profile rather than recent stats. Their roster is balanced with experienced defenders like Kim Hye-Ri and Jang Sel-Gi, a technically gifted midfield led by Ji So-Yun, and mobile forwards such as Son Hwa-Yeon and C. Phair. Expect a compact 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 focused on defensive organisation, with quick vertical outlets to the flanks. With no goals for or against recorded yet, the priority here will be testing their ability to withstand Brazil’s high press and late surges while looking for selective counter-attacking chances rather than sustained possession.
Possible Starting Lineups
Brazil W Predicted XI
- GK: Lelê
- DF: Bruninha, Tarciane, Lauren, Tamires
- MF: Luana, Ary Borges, Ana Vitória
- FW: Adriana, Bia Zaneratto, Geyse Ferreira
Brazil are likely to line up in an attacking 4-3-3, with Luana anchoring midfield and Ary Borges and Ana Vitória providing vertical runs and ball progression. Full-backs Bruninha and Tamires will push high to create width, allowing Adriana and Geyse Ferreira to attack half-spaces while Bia Zaneratto drifts between the lines. Key players to watch are Geyse, whose direct running can unbalance Korea’s back line, and Bia, who links midfield and attack and can exploit Brazil’s strong late-game momentum.
South Korea W Predicted XI
- GK: Min-Jung Kim
- DF: Kim Hye-Ri, Jang Sel-Gi, Choo Hyo-Joo, Yoo-Jin Ko
- MF: Ji So-Yun, Kang Chae-Rim, Choe Yu-Ri
- FW: Son Hwa-Yeon, C. Phair, Yu-Gyeong Jeon
South Korea W may opt for a flexible 4-3-3 that becomes 4-5-1 without the ball, with Ji So-Yun orchestrating from midfield and Choe Yu-Ri and Kang Chae-Rim shuttling to support both phases. The back four, marshalled by Kim Hye-Ri and Jang Sel-Gi, will likely sit deeper to limit space behind, forcing Brazil to break them down in tight areas. Going forward, the pace and movement of Son Hwa-Yeon and C. Phair will be central to counter-attacking plans, especially into the channels vacated by Brazil’s attacking full-backs.
Head-to-Head Comparison
- Goals: Brazil W 2 vs South Korea W 0 (in the 2015 World Cup Women meeting)
- Total Shots: No reliable aggregate data available for this fixture
- Corner Kicks: No reliable aggregate data available for this fixture
- Pass Accuracy: No reliable aggregate data available for this fixture
- Total Fouls: No reliable aggregate data available for this fixture
Brazil W vs South Korea W Score Prediction: 2–0
Brazil’s superior attacking metrics, late scoring profile, and 100% edge in the head-to-head comparison point to a controlled home win, while South Korea’s lack of recent data and likely conservative setup suggest limited offensive output. A 2–0 scoreline aligns with the model’s “Brazil W and under 3.5 goals” advice and mirrors their previous 2–0 meeting.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability
- Moneyline: Brazil W {odds} | South Korea W {odds}
- Draw: {odds}
- Over/Under 2.5: Over {odds} | Under {odds}
- BTTS: Yes {odds} | No {odds}
Expert's Final Take
The data-backed edge is clearly with Brazil W: they have recent match rhythm, a proven attacking output of 2.0 goals per game in this campaign, and a strong historical record against South Korea W. With the predictions model explicitly favouring “Brazil W and under 3.5 goals”, the best value lies in a Brazil win combined with a conservative goals angle (Brazil -1.0 Asian Handicap, under 3.5, and BTTS No). Expect Brazil’s quality to tell, but Korea’s structure to keep the scoreline respectable.
